Foreign Policy predictions & odds

·

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$21m 交易量

$704k today

$245k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

2%

$21m 交易量

$704k today

$245k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Foreign Policy

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$25m 交易量

$393k today

$672k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

14%

$25m 交易量

$393k today

$672k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$11m 交易量

$220k today

$319k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

18%

$11m 交易量

$220k today

$319k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$7m 交易量

$121k today

$401k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

44%

$7m 交易量

$121k today

$401k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

$399k 交易量

$96.6k today

$66.0k Liq.

90

Ends in 2 months

41%

Russia

$399k 交易量

$96.6k today

$66.0k Liq.

90

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$120k 交易量

$72.3k today

$111k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

9%

$120k 交易量

$72.3k today

$111k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$7m 交易量

$54.1k today

$466k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

12%

$7m 交易量

$54.1k today

$466k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

US strike on Mexico by...?

Foreign Policy

US strike on Mexico by...?

$2m 交易量

$40.1k Liq.

110

Ends in 11 months

31%

December 31

$2m 交易量

$40.1k Liq.

110

Ends in 11 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Foreign Policy

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$505k 交易量

$41.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

17%

$505k 交易量

$41.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$152k 交易量

$21.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

29%

$152k 交易量

$21.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Ukraine election called by...?

Foreign Policy

Ukraine election called by...?

$1m 交易量

$16.4k Liq.

12

22%

June 30, 2026

$1m 交易量

$16.4k Liq.

12

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$2m 交易量

$68.2k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

2%

$2m 交易量

$68.2k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Foreign Policy

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

$173k 交易量

$45.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

23%

December 31

$173k 交易量

$45.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Foreign Policy

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

$75.4k 交易量

$19.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

6%

$75.4k 交易量

$19.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

$115k 交易量

$8.3k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

16%

$115k 交易量

$8.3k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

$166k 交易量

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

18%

$166k 交易量

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

$98.0k 交易量

$8.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

13%

$98.0k 交易量

$8.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Foreign Policy

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

$93.3k 交易量

$44.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

94%

China

$93.3k 交易量

$44.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Foreign Policy

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1m 交易量

$7.9k Liq.

144

19%

March 31, 2026

$1m 交易量

$7.9k Liq.

144

How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?

Foreign Policy

How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?

$154k 交易量

$35.7k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

18%

7

$154k 交易量

$35.7k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Sort by

Event Status