Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada extended martial law and general mobilization until February 7, 2025, constitutionally barring presidential elections during wartime, solidifying President Zelenskyy's continued tenure despite his term's formal end in May 2024. Zelenskyy maintains high domestic approval amid the Russian invasion, emphasizing polls only post-victory. U.S. President-elect Trump's rapid peace negotiation pledges have fueled trader speculation on external pressures for elections or concessions. Current market odds reflect consensus on Zelenskyy's dominance, tempered by battlefield stalemates. Key upcoming events include the next Rada extension vote in late January and Trump's January 20 inauguration, potentially shifting aid dynamics and diplomatic timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,432,979 交易量

2026年3月31日
1%

2026年6月30日
10%
$1,432,979 交易量

2026年3月31日
1%

2026年6月30日
10%
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada extended martial law and general mobilization until February 7, 2025, constitutionally barring presidential elections during wartime, solidifying President Zelenskyy's continued tenure despite his term's formal end in May 2024. Zelenskyy maintains high domestic approval amid the Russian invasion, emphasizing polls only post-victory. U.S. President-elect Trump's rapid peace negotiation pledges have fueled trader speculation on external pressures for elections or concessions. Current market odds reflect consensus on Zelenskyy's dominance, tempered by battlefield stalemates. Key upcoming events include the next Rada extension vote in late January and Trump's January 20 inauguration, potentially shifting aid dynamics and diplomatic timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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