Ukrainian law prohibits presidential elections during martial law, currently extended by parliament until February 9, 2025, forming the primary barrier driving low trader consensus for an imminent vote and favoring "no election called soon" outcomes. President Zelenskyy's term continues under constitutional provisions until a successor is elected, despite dropping approval ratings in polls where military chief Zaluzhny leads hypotheticals. Recent U.S. leadership change post-Trump victory has sparked speculation of external pressure for polls, but official Kyiv statements reaffirm delays until wartime conditions ease. Traders weigh war progress and next martial law vote in late January as pivotal catalysts, with odds reflecting skepticism over near-term resolution amid stalled Russian frontlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,432,419 交易量

2026年3月31日
1%

2026年6月30日
12%
$1,432,419 交易量

2026年3月31日
1%

2026年6月30日
12%
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian law prohibits presidential elections during martial law, currently extended by parliament until February 9, 2025, forming the primary barrier driving low trader consensus for an imminent vote and favoring "no election called soon" outcomes. President Zelenskyy's term continues under constitutional provisions until a successor is elected, despite dropping approval ratings in polls where military chief Zaluzhny leads hypotheticals. Recent U.S. leadership change post-Trump victory has sparked speculation of external pressure for polls, but official Kyiv statements reaffirm delays until wartime conditions ease. Traders weigh war progress and next martial law vote in late January as pivotal catalysts, with odds reflecting skepticism over near-term resolution amid stalled Russian frontlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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