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西班牙提前大选由...召集?

Market icon

西班牙提前大选由...召集?

$133,316 交易量

2025-12-31
Polymarket

$133,316 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$39,818 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces intensifying pressure for a snap general election after his Socialist PSOE party's defeats in recent regional polls, including heavy losses in Extremadura in December 2025 and Aragón in early February 2026. Opposition leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the Popular Party has repeatedly called for early national elections, citing corruption scandals, prolonged budget stalemates, and declining support amid coalition strains with regional nationalists and left-wing partners. Sánchez has firmly rejected an early vote, with the next Cortes Generales election constitutionally due no later than August 2027, though he holds sole authority to dissolve parliament. Upcoming regional contests in Andalucía and Castilla y León could further test PSOE resilience and influence trader assessments of snap election risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,316
结束日期
2025-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces intensifying pressure for a snap general election after his Socialist PSOE party's defeats in recent regional polls, including heavy losses in Extremadura in December 2025 and Aragón in early February 2026. Opposition leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the Popular Party has repeatedly called for early national elections, citing corruption scandals, prolonged budget stalemates, and declining support amid coalition strains with regional nationalists and left-wing partners. Sánchez has firmly rejected an early vote, with the next Cortes Generales election constitutionally due no later than August 2027, though he holds sole authority to dissolve parliament. Upcoming regional contests in Andalucía and Castilla y León could further test PSOE resilience and influence trader assessments of snap election risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,316
结束日期
2025-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"西班牙提前大选由...召集?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年6月30日",概率为 8%,其次是"2025年12月31日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 8¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 8%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"西班牙提前大选由...召集?"已产生 $133.3K 的总交易量(自May 28, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"西班牙提前大选由...召集?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"西班牙提前大选由...召集?"的当前领先者是"2026年6月30日",仅有 8%,"2025年12月31日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"西班牙提前大选由...召集?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。