France's National Assembly has lacked a stable majority since President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fueling ongoing speculation about another dissolution. The minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived critical no-confidence motions in January 2026, invoking Article 49.3 to pass the delayed 2026 budget amid protests over EU-Mercosur trade deals. March municipal elections saw gains for far-right National Rally and far-left alliances, highlighting voter polarization ahead of the 2027 presidential race, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his candidacy on May 3. Macron holds exclusive constitutional power to call snap polls, with traders eyeing triggers like fresh no-confidence votes, budget impasses, or economic pressures in coming parliamentary sessions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,059,549 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
2%
$1,059,549 交易量
2026年6月30日
$77,968 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly has lacked a stable majority since President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fueling ongoing speculation about another dissolution. The minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived critical no-confidence motions in January 2026, invoking Article 49.3 to pass the delayed 2026 budget amid protests over EU-Mercosur trade deals. March municipal elections saw gains for far-right National Rally and far-left alliances, highlighting voter polarization ahead of the 2027 presidential race, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his candidacy on May 3. Macron holds exclusive constitutional power to call snap polls, with traders eyeing triggers like fresh no-confidence votes, budget impasses, or economic pressures in coming parliamentary sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,059,549结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly has lacked a stable majority since President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fueling ongoing speculation about another dissolution. The minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived critical no-confidence motions in January 2026, invoking Article 49.3 to pass the delayed 2026 budget amid protests over EU-Mercosur trade deals. March municipal elections saw gains for far-right National Rally and far-left alliances, highlighting voter polarization ahead of the 2027 presidential race, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his candidacy on May 3. Macron holds exclusive constitutional power to call snap polls, with traders eyeing triggers like fresh no-confidence votes, budget impasses, or economic pressures in coming parliamentary sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,059,549结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's National Assembly has lacked a stable majority since President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fueling ongoing speculation about another dissolution. The minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived critical no-confidence motions in January 2026, invoking Article 49.3 to pass the delayed 2026 budget amid protests over EU-Mercosur trade deals. March municipal elections saw gains for far-right National Rally and far-left alliances, highlighting voter polarization ahead of the 2027 presidential race, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his candidacy on May 3. Macron holds exclusive constitutional power to call snap polls, with traders eyeing triggers like fresh no-confidence votes, budget impasses, or economic pressures in coming parliamentary sessions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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