President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution of the National Assembly produced a hung parliament divided among left-wing, centrist, and far-right blocs, none holding a majority. This has sustained minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes and repeated budget impasses through 2025. Recent attempts by outgoing Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and other figures to broker cross-bloc deals or pass essential legislation have aimed to avert further dissolution, yet the absence of stable majorities keeps speculation alive about a snap legislative election before the scheduled 2027 presidential vote. Traders monitor parliamentary maneuvering, coalition signals, and Macron's constitutional authority under Article 12 as key variables that could shift the timing or likelihood of another early contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,063,910 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
1%
$1,063,910 交易量
2026年6月30日
$82,277 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution of the National Assembly produced a hung parliament divided among left-wing, centrist, and far-right blocs, none holding a majority. This has sustained minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes and repeated budget impasses through 2025. Recent attempts by outgoing Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and other figures to broker cross-bloc deals or pass essential legislation have aimed to avert further dissolution, yet the absence of stable majorities keeps speculation alive about a snap legislative election before the scheduled 2027 presidential vote. Traders monitor parliamentary maneuvering, coalition signals, and Macron's constitutional authority under Article 12 as key variables that could shift the timing or likelihood of another early contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,063,910结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution of the National Assembly produced a hung parliament divided among left-wing, centrist, and far-right blocs, none holding a majority. This has sustained minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes and repeated budget impasses through 2025. Recent attempts by outgoing Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and other figures to broker cross-bloc deals or pass essential legislation have aimed to avert further dissolution, yet the absence of stable majorities keeps speculation alive about a snap legislative election before the scheduled 2027 presidential vote. Traders monitor parliamentary maneuvering, coalition signals, and Macron's constitutional authority under Article 12 as key variables that could shift the timing or likelihood of another early contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,063,910结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 dissolution of the National Assembly produced a hung parliament divided among left-wing, centrist, and far-right blocs, none holding a majority. This has sustained minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes and repeated budget impasses through 2025. Recent attempts by outgoing Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu and other figures to broker cross-bloc deals or pass essential legislation have aimed to avert further dissolution, yet the absence of stable majorities keeps speculation alive about a snap legislative election before the scheduled 2027 presidential vote. Traders monitor parliamentary maneuvering, coalition signals, and Macron's constitutional authority under Article 12 as key variables that could shift the timing or likelihood of another early contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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