France's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament state following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fostering prolonged instability with successive governments under Prime Ministers Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu collapsing via no-confidence votes over budget disputes in 2025. Macron, the sole authority empowered to dissolve the Assembly under Article 12 of the Constitution, threatened dissolution in January 2026 amid stalled 2026 budget negotiations but has not acted as of early May. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader focus on fiscal deadlines, potential no-confidence motions from left-wing and far-right blocs, and coalition talks that could avert or precipitate another dissolution and snap election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,059,549 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
2%
$1,059,549 交易量
2026年6月30日
$77,915 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament state following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fostering prolonged instability with successive governments under Prime Ministers Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu collapsing via no-confidence votes over budget disputes in 2025. Macron, the sole authority empowered to dissolve the Assembly under Article 12 of the Constitution, threatened dissolution in January 2026 amid stalled 2026 budget negotiations but has not acted as of early May. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader focus on fiscal deadlines, potential no-confidence motions from left-wing and far-right blocs, and coalition talks that could avert or precipitate another dissolution and snap election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,059,549结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament state following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fostering prolonged instability with successive governments under Prime Ministers Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu collapsing via no-confidence votes over budget disputes in 2025. Macron, the sole authority empowered to dissolve the Assembly under Article 12 of the Constitution, threatened dissolution in January 2026 amid stalled 2026 budget negotiations but has not acted as of early May. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader focus on fiscal deadlines, potential no-confidence motions from left-wing and far-right blocs, and coalition talks that could avert or precipitate another dissolution and snap election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,059,549结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's National Assembly remains in a hung parliament state following President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, fostering prolonged instability with successive governments under Prime Ministers Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu collapsing via no-confidence votes over budget disputes in 2025. Macron, the sole authority empowered to dissolve the Assembly under Article 12 of the Constitution, threatened dissolution in January 2026 amid stalled 2026 budget negotiations but has not acted as of early May. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader focus on fiscal deadlines, potential no-confidence motions from left-wing and far-right blocs, and coalition talks that could avert or precipitate another dissolution and snap election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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