Iranian authorities partially restored international internet connectivity in late May 2026 after an 88-day near-total nationwide blackout that began amid January protests and extended following U.S. and Israeli strikes in February. The restoration, ordered by President Masoud Pezeshkian, returned limited access for tens of millions of users but left many protocols restricted or whitelisted, with connectivity still far below pre-2026 levels according to monitors like NetBlocks. No subsequent total shutdown has occurred through early August, amid ongoing economic costs estimated in the tens of millions of dollars daily during the prior outage and persistent domestic controls. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a full blackout by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting the absence of fresh escalatory triggers or policy reversals in the intervening period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$132,379 交易量
2026-08-31
8月31日
9%
9月30日
40%
12月31日
42%
$132,379 交易量
8月31日
$79,082 交易量
9%
9月30日
$62 交易量
40%
12月31日
$0 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities partially restored international internet connectivity in late May 2026 after an 88-day near-total nationwide blackout that began amid January protests and extended following U.S. and Israeli strikes in February. The restoration, ordered by President Masoud Pezeshkian, returned limited access for tens of millions of users but left many protocols restricted or whitelisted, with connectivity still far below pre-2026 levels according to monitors like NetBlocks. No subsequent total shutdown has occurred through early August, amid ongoing economic costs estimated in the tens of millions of dollars daily during the prior outage and persistent domestic controls. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a full blackout by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting the absence of fresh escalatory triggers or policy reversals in the intervening period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$132,379结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities partially restored international internet connectivity in late May 2026 after an 88-day near-total nationwide blackout that began amid January protests and extended following U.S. and Israeli strikes in February. The restoration, ordered by President Masoud Pezeshkian, returned limited access for tens of millions of users but left many protocols restricted or whitelisted, with connectivity still far below pre-2026 levels according to monitors like NetBlocks. No subsequent total shutdown has occurred through early August, amid ongoing economic costs estimated in the tens of millions of dollars daily during the prior outage and persistent domestic controls. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a full blackout by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting the absence of fresh escalatory triggers or policy reversals in the intervening period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,379结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities partially restored international internet connectivity in late May 2026 after an 88-day near-total nationwide blackout that began amid January protests and extended following U.S. and Israeli strikes in February. The restoration, ordered by President Masoud Pezeshkian, returned limited access for tens of millions of users but left many protocols restricted or whitelisted, with connectivity still far below pre-2026 levels according to monitors like NetBlocks. No subsequent total shutdown has occurred through early August, amid ongoing economic costs estimated in the tens of millions of dollars daily during the prior outage and persistent domestic controls. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a full blackout by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting the absence of fresh escalatory triggers or policy reversals in the intervening period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题