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特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?

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特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?

9% chance
Polymarket

$30,845,352 交易量

9% chance
Polymarket

$30,845,352 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's repeated advocacy for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his 2025 inauguration—framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia—has met unyielding Danish and Greenlandic opposition, with Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen affirming the territory is not for sale. Recent March 2026 reports revealed Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways at Thule Air Base in case of invasion, while Trump's push influenced Denmark's elections without shifting local sentiment. A January compromise expanded U.S. military basing rights in limited pockets but stopped short of territorial purchase or control, prompting Trump to abandon force threats and pivot to stalled negotiations. With diplomatic barriers entrenched and no breakthroughs in the past month, traders price full acquisition before 2027 as highly improbable at just 9.1%.

President Trump's repeated advocacy for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his 2025 inauguration—framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia—has met unyielding Danish and Greenlandic opposition, with Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen affirming the territory is not for sale. Recent March 2026 reports revealed Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways at Thule Air Base in case of invasion, while Trump's push influenced Denmark's elections without shifting local sentiment. A January compromise expanded U.S. military basing rights in limited pockets but stopped short of territorial purchase or control, prompting Trump to abandon force threats and pivot to stalled negotiations. With diplomatic barriers entrenched and no breakthroughs in the past month, traders price full acquisition before 2027 as highly improbable at just 9.1%.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's repeated advocacy for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his 2025 inauguration—framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia—has met unyielding Danish and Greenlandic opposition, with Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen affirming the territory is not for sale. Recent March 2026 reports revealed Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways at Thule Air Base in case of invasion, while Trump's push influenced Denmark's elections without shifting local sentiment. A January compromise expanded U.S. military basing rights in limited pockets but stopped short of territorial purchase or control, prompting Trump to abandon force threats and pivot to stalled negotiations. With diplomatic barriers entrenched and no breakthroughs in the past month, traders price full acquisition before 2027 as highly improbable at just 9.1%.

President Trump's repeated advocacy for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his 2025 inauguration—framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia—has met unyielding Danish and Greenlandic opposition, with Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen affirming the territory is not for sale. Recent March 2026 reports revealed Danish contingency plans to sabotage runways at Thule Air Base in case of invasion, while Trump's push influenced Denmark's elections without shifting local sentiment. A January compromise expanded U.S. military basing rights in limited pockets but stopped short of territorial purchase or control, prompting Trump to abandon force threats and pivot to stalled negotiations. With diplomatic barriers entrenched and no breakthroughs in the past month, traders price full acquisition before 2027 as highly improbable at just 9.1%.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在2027年前收购格陵兰吗?",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 9¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 9%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?"已产生 $30.8 million 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普会在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛吗?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在2027年前收购格陵兰吗?",仅有 9%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

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