Following mid-March winter storms that peaked at over 1,800 U.S. flight cancellations on March 16 per FlightAware data, daily totals have declined sharply amid improving weather, with 261 cancellations on March 27 and 227 on March 28. Forecasts indicate no severe disruptions at major airports Saturday, though FAA notes possible high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside isolated thunderstorms in Chicago. Persistent TSA staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse and officer quits during spring break surge—have fueled delays but not elevated cancellations above 500 recently. Traders' 61.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this stabilizing trend and absence of imminent catalysts like new storms or agency actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Following mid-March winter storms that peaked at over 1,800 U.S. flight cancellations on March 16 per FlightAware data, daily totals have declined sharply amid improving weather, with 261 cancellations on March 27 and 227 on March 28. Forecasts indicate no severe disruptions at major airports Saturday, though FAA notes possible high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside isolated thunderstorms in Chicago. Persistent TSA staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse and officer quits during spring break surge—have fueled delays but not elevated cancellations above 500 recently. Traders' 61.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this stabilizing trend and absence of imminent catalysts like new storms or agency actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$10结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Following mid-March winter storms that peaked at over 1,800 U.S. flight cancellations on March 16 per FlightAware data, daily totals have declined sharply amid improving weather, with 261 cancellations on March 27 and 227 on March 28. Forecasts indicate no severe disruptions at major airports Saturday, though FAA notes possible high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside isolated thunderstorms in Chicago. Persistent TSA staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse and officer quits during spring break surge—have fueled delays but not elevated cancellations above 500 recently. Traders' 61.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this stabilizing trend and absence of imminent catalysts like new storms or agency actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$10结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Following mid-March winter storms that peaked at over 1,800 U.S. flight cancellations on March 16 per FlightAware data, daily totals have declined sharply amid improving weather, with 261 cancellations on March 27 and 227 on March 28. Forecasts indicate no severe disruptions at major airports Saturday, though FAA notes possible high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside isolated thunderstorms in Chicago. Persistent TSA staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse and officer quits during spring break surge—have fueled delays but not elevated cancellations above 500 recently. Traders' 61.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this stabilizing trend and absence of imminent catalysts like new storms or agency actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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