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谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?

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谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?

$72,264 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$72,264 交易量

Polymarket
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凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯托

$0 交易量

26%

Market icon

马克·华纳

$20 交易量

24%

Market icon

帕蒂·默里

$11,380 交易量

22%

Market icon

Mike Lee

$586 交易量

15%

Market icon

蒂姆·凯恩

$1,795 交易量

8%

Market icon

丽萨·穆尔科斯基

$2,774 交易量

12%

Market icon

Jacky Rosen

$363 交易量

9%

Market icon

Jeanne Shaheen

$649 交易量

8%

Market icon

玛吉·哈桑

$2,580 交易量

7%

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查克·舒默

$1,818 交易量

6%

Market icon

安格斯·金

$1,272 交易量

6%

Market icon

汤姆·蒂利斯

$3,188 交易量

5%

Market icon

苏珊·柯林斯

$2,506 交易量

4%

Market icon

克里斯·库恩斯

$2,296 交易量

4%

Market icon

伯尼·桑德斯

$14,272 交易量

3%

Market icon

瑞克·斯科特

$1,863 交易量

11%

Market icon

艾米·克洛布查

$3,957 交易量

3%

Market icon

兰德·保罗

$2,406 交易量

3%

Market icon

克里斯·墨菲

$1,609 交易量

3%

Market icon

迪克·德宾

$5,834 交易量

2%

Market icon

罗恩·约翰逊

$3,382 交易量

2%

Market icon

克尔斯滕·吉利布兰德

$3,282 交易量

1%

Market icon

约翰·费特曼

$4,431 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.

A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.

A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯托",概率为 26%,其次是"马克·华纳",概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 26¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 26%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?"已产生 $72.3K 的总交易量(自Jan 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?"的当前领先者是"凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯托",概率为 26%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 26%。紧随其后的结果是"马克·华纳",概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在3月31日前投票支持2026年《国土安全部拨款法》?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。