A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$72,264 交易量

凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯托
26%

马克·华纳
24%

帕蒂·默里
22%

Mike Lee
15%

蒂姆·凯恩
8%

丽萨·穆尔科斯基
12%

Jacky Rosen
9%

Jeanne Shaheen
8%

玛吉·哈桑
7%

查克·舒默
6%

安格斯·金
6%

汤姆·蒂利斯
5%

苏珊·柯林斯
4%

克里斯·库恩斯
4%

伯尼·桑德斯
3%

瑞克·斯科特
11%

艾米·克洛布查
3%

兰德·保罗
3%

克里斯·墨菲
3%

迪克·德宾
2%

罗恩·约翰逊
2%

克尔斯滕·吉利布兰德
1%

约翰·费特曼
<1%
$72,264 交易量

凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯托
26%

马克·华纳
24%

帕蒂·默里
22%

Mike Lee
15%

蒂姆·凯恩
8%

丽萨·穆尔科斯基
12%

Jacky Rosen
9%

Jeanne Shaheen
8%

玛吉·哈桑
7%

查克·舒默
6%

安格斯·金
6%

汤姆·蒂利斯
5%

苏珊·柯林斯
4%

克里斯·库恩斯
4%

伯尼·桑德斯
3%

瑞克·斯科特
11%

艾米·克洛布查
3%

兰德·保罗
3%

克里斯·墨菲
3%

迪克·德宾
2%

罗恩·约翰逊
2%

克尔斯滕·吉利布兰德
1%

约翰·费特曼
<1%
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security since February 14, 2026, over FY2026 appropriations disputes—centered on immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP—has strained TSA operations and FEMA disaster response, driving urgent bipartisan pressure for resolution. The Senate passed H.R. 7147 on March 27, funding most DHS components including back pay for furloughed workers but excluding border security operations; the House amended it the same day to extend funding through May 22. With President Trump issuing a TSA paycheck directive, traders assess key senators' likely votes on final concurrence amid shutdown fatigue, historical filibuster patterns, and pre-March 31 procedural deadlines, reflecting tight whip counts and potential holdouts from fiscal conservatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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