Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于6,500-7,000 45%
5,500-6,000 34%
7,000-7,500 16%
7,500-8,000 10%
$1,311 交易量
$1,311 交易量
2026-03-31
<5,000
5%
5,000-5,500
5%
5,500-6,000
34%
6,000-6,500
51%
6,500-7,000
45%
7,000-7,500
16%
7,500-8,000
10%
>8,000
8%
6,500-7,000 45%
5,500-6,000 34%
7,000-7,500 16%
7,500-8,000 10%
$1,311 交易量
$1,311 交易量
2026-03-31
<5,000
$542 交易量
5%
5,000-5,500
$399 交易量
5%
5,500-6,000
$100 交易量
34%
6,000-6,500
$150 交易量
51%
6,500-7,000
$0 交易量
45%
7,000-7,500
$0 交易量
16%
7,500-8,000
$38 交易量
10%
>8,000
$82 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$1,311结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$1,311结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ETPreliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题