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特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?

Market icon

特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?

$1,416,565 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,416,565 交易量

Polymarket

30%

$1,032,584 交易量

<1%

50%

$383,981 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland since January 2026, framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia amid rare earth minerals competition, has encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic rejection of any sovereignty transfer. Denmark's snap election on March 20, amid the standoff, led to Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's defeat and resignation days ago, underscoring domestic political costs without softening opposition. Revelations of Danish contingency plans to demolish key runways and recent U.S. requests for expanded military access in three areas signal de-escalation toward basing rights rather than purchase. With no verified diplomatic breakthroughs and constitutional barriers to sale by the NATO ally, trader consensus implies low probabilities persisting through 2027 barring unforeseen shifts like coalition negotiations in Denmark's incoming government.

President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland since January 2026, framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia amid rare earth minerals competition, has encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic rejection of any sovereignty transfer. Denmark's snap election on March 20, amid the standoff, led to Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's defeat and resignation days ago, underscoring domestic political costs without softening opposition. Revelations of Danish contingency plans to demolish key runways and recent U.S. requests for expanded military access in three areas signal de-escalation toward basing rights rather than purchase. With no verified diplomatic breakthroughs and constitutional barriers to sale by the NATO ally, trader consensus implies low probabilities persisting through 2027 barring unforeseen shifts like coalition negotiations in Denmark's incoming government.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland since January 2026, framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia amid rare earth minerals competition, has encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic rejection of any sovereignty transfer. Denmark's snap election on March 20, amid the standoff, led to Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's defeat and resignation days ago, underscoring domestic political costs without softening opposition. Revelations of Danish contingency plans to demolish key runways and recent U.S. requests for expanded military access in three areas signal de-escalation toward basing rights rather than purchase. With no verified diplomatic breakthroughs and constitutional barriers to sale by the NATO ally, trader consensus implies low probabilities persisting through 2027 barring unforeseen shifts like coalition negotiations in Denmark's incoming government.

President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland since January 2026, framed as essential for Arctic national security against China and Russia amid rare earth minerals competition, has encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic rejection of any sovereignty transfer. Denmark's snap election on March 20, amid the standoff, led to Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's defeat and resignation days ago, underscoring domestic political costs without softening opposition. Revelations of Danish contingency plans to demolish key runways and recent U.S. requests for expanded military access in three areas signal de-escalation toward basing rights rather than purchase. With no verified diplomatic breakthroughs and constitutional barriers to sale by the NATO ally, trader consensus implies low probabilities persisting through 2027 barring unforeseen shifts like coalition negotiations in Denmark's incoming government.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"30%",概率为 0%,其次是"50%",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?"已产生 $1.4 million 的总交易量(自Jan 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?"的当前领先者是"30%",仅有 0%,"50%"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普在3月31日之前__在2027年之前收购格陵兰岛的可能性是多少?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。