Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 3?

Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 3?

40.0–40.4 39%

39.5–39.9 38%

40.5–40.9 36%

39.0–39.4 30%

Polymarket
NEW

40.0–40.4 39%

39.5–39.9 38%

40.5–40.9 36%

39.0–39.4 30%

Polymarket
NEW

<39.0

$6 交易量

20%

39.0–39.4

$0 交易量

30%

39.5–39.9

$0 交易量

38%

40.0–40.4

$0 交易量

39%

40.5–40.9

$0 交易量

36%

41.0+

$0 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls from Gallup and Rasmussen place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, with averages around 39.5–40.5% as of late March 2025, driving trader consensus to cluster tightly in the 39.0–40.9% bins and pricing 41.0+ at just 8.5%. This reflects polarized public views amid early-term executive actions on border security and tariffs, which boosted support among his base but drew criticism from independents over inflation fears and market volatility. Steady economic indicators like low unemployment have prevented sharper declines, while no major scandals or breakthroughs have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment. Upcoming April events, including potential cabinet confirmations and Federal Reserve announcements, could tip probabilities by influencing key voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$6
结束日期
Apr 4, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls from Gallup and Rasmussen place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, with averages around 39.5–40.5% as of late March 2025, driving trader consensus to cluster tightly in the 39.0–40.9% bins and pricing 41.0+ at just 8.5%. This reflects polarized public views amid early-term executive actions on border security and tariffs, which boosted support among his base but drew criticism from independents over inflation fears and market volatility. Steady economic indicators like low unemployment have prevented sharper declines, while no major scandals or breakthroughs have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment. Upcoming April events, including potential cabinet confirmations and Federal Reserve announcements, could tip probabilities by influencing key voting blocs.

Recent polls from Gallup and Rasmussen place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, with averages around 39.5–40.5% as of late March 2025, driving trader consensus to cluster tightly in the 39.0–40.9% bins and pricing 41.0+ at just 8.5%. This reflects polarized public views amid early-term executive actions on border security and tariffs, which boosted support among his base but drew criticism from independents over inflation fears and market volatility. Steady economic indicators like low unemployment have prevented sharper declines, while no major scandals or breakthroughs have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment. Upcoming April events, including potential cabinet confirmations and Federal Reserve announcements, could tip probabilities by influencing key voting blocs.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Trump approval rating on April 3?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40.0–40.4",概率为 40%,其次是"39.5–39.9",概率为 39%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Trump approval rating on April 3?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Trump approval rating on April 3?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Trump approval rating on April 3?"的当前领先者是"40.0–40.4",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"39.5–39.9",概率为 39%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Trump approval rating on April 3?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。