Recent polls from Gallup and Rasmussen place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, with averages around 39.5–40.5% as of late March 2025, driving trader consensus to cluster tightly in the 39.0–40.9% bins and pricing 41.0+ at just 8.5%. This reflects polarized public views amid early-term executive actions on border security and tariffs, which boosted support among his base but drew criticism from independents over inflation fears and market volatility. Steady economic indicators like low unemployment have prevented sharper declines, while no major scandals or breakthroughs have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment. Upcoming April events, including potential cabinet confirmations and Federal Reserve announcements, could tip probabilities by influencing key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
40.0–40.4 39%
39.5–39.9 38%
40.5–40.9 36%
39.0–39.4 30%
<39.0
20%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
38%
40.0–40.4
39%
40.5–40.9
36%
41.0+
9%
40.0–40.4 39%
39.5–39.9 38%
40.5–40.9 36%
39.0–39.4 30%
<39.0
20%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
38%
40.0–40.4
39%
40.5–40.9
36%
41.0+
9%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Gallup and Rasmussen place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, with averages around 39.5–40.5% as of late March 2025, driving trader consensus to cluster tightly in the 39.0–40.9% bins and pricing 41.0+ at just 8.5%. This reflects polarized public views amid early-term executive actions on border security and tariffs, which boosted support among his base but drew criticism from independents over inflation fears and market volatility. Steady economic indicators like low unemployment have prevented sharper declines, while no major scandals or breakthroughs have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment. Upcoming April events, including potential cabinet confirmations and Federal Reserve announcements, could tip probabilities by influencing key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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