President-elect Donald Trump's approval ratings currently average 46% in major polls like Gallup and RealClearPolitics aggregates, buoyed by election victory momentum but pressured by previews of aggressive policies on immigration, tariffs, and government efficiency via appointees like Elon Musk for the Department of Government Efficiency. Traders should note the expected post-inauguration honeymoon on January 20, 2025, when early executive orders on border security, tax cuts, and deregulation could boost sentiment if economic growth accelerates. However, 2026 peaks hinge on midterm dynamics, foreign policy execution in Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, inflation control, and potential scandals or legal challenges, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceeding 60% amid divided government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
15%
↑ 45%
12%
↑ 46%
8%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
6%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
8%
$2,735 交易量
↑ 44%
$2,424 交易量
15%
↑ 45%
$0 交易量
12%
↑ 46%
$312 交易量
8%
↑ 47%
$0 交易量
5%
↑ 48%
$0 交易量
6%
↑ 49%
$0 交易量
4%
↑ 50%
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President-elect Donald Trump's approval ratings currently average 46% in major polls like Gallup and RealClearPolitics aggregates, buoyed by election victory momentum but pressured by previews of aggressive policies on immigration, tariffs, and government efficiency via appointees like Elon Musk for the Department of Government Efficiency. Traders should note the expected post-inauguration honeymoon on January 20, 2025, when early executive orders on border security, tax cuts, and deregulation could boost sentiment if economic growth accelerates. However, 2026 peaks hinge on midterm dynamics, foreign policy execution in Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, inflation control, and potential scandals or legal challenges, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceeding 60% amid divided government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$2,735结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President-elect Donald Trump's approval ratings currently average 46% in major polls like Gallup and RealClearPolitics aggregates, buoyed by election victory momentum but pressured by previews of aggressive policies on immigration, tariffs, and government efficiency via appointees like Elon Musk for the Department of Government Efficiency. Traders should note the expected post-inauguration honeymoon on January 20, 2025, when early executive orders on border security, tax cuts, and deregulation could boost sentiment if economic growth accelerates. However, 2026 peaks hinge on midterm dynamics, foreign policy execution in Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, inflation control, and potential scandals or legal challenges, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceeding 60% amid divided government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
交易量
$2,735结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump's approval ratings currently average 46% in major polls like Gallup and RealClearPolitics aggregates, buoyed by election victory momentum but pressured by previews of aggressive policies on immigration, tariffs, and government efficiency via appointees like Elon Musk for the Department of Government Efficiency. Traders should note the expected post-inauguration honeymoon on January 20, 2025, when early executive orders on border security, tax cuts, and deregulation could boost sentiment if economic growth accelerates. However, 2026 peaks hinge on midterm dynamics, foreign policy execution in Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, inflation control, and potential scandals or legal challenges, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceeding 60% amid divided government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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