President Donald Trump's scheduled state visit to China on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, confirmed by the White House last week, drives trader consensus toward a high likelihood of resolution in the affirmative if the market deadline extends to June 30. The trip, originally planned for late March, was postponed amid escalating US-Iran tensions and a Strait of Hormuz dispute, but rescheduling signals continued diplomatic momentum on trade tariffs, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan stability. Preparatory steps include US Cabinet officials' upcoming travel to Beijing and recent negotiator talks in Paris, underscoring bilateral priorities amid fragile truce dynamics. Unforeseen escalations or health issues could still derail the itinerary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$19,127,627 交易量
2026年4月30日
2%
5月31日
77%
6月30日
84%
$19,127,627 交易量
2026年4月30日
2%
5月31日
77%
6月30日
84%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 26, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's scheduled state visit to China on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, confirmed by the White House last week, drives trader consensus toward a high likelihood of resolution in the affirmative if the market deadline extends to June 30. The trip, originally planned for late March, was postponed amid escalating US-Iran tensions and a Strait of Hormuz dispute, but rescheduling signals continued diplomatic momentum on trade tariffs, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan stability. Preparatory steps include US Cabinet officials' upcoming travel to Beijing and recent negotiator talks in Paris, underscoring bilateral priorities amid fragile truce dynamics. Unforeseen escalations or health issues could still derail the itinerary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题