US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,281,992 交易量
2026-01-31
6月30日
10%
$1,281,992 交易量
6月30日
$197,229 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,281,992结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,281,992结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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