Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, 2026, after which he plans to step down from the role while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting. President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, advanced through the Senate Banking Committee that week, positioning him for a full Senate confirmation vote soon after. Traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a May 15–22 departure reflects this timeline, with historical precedent for chairs transitioning promptly upon term end or successor swearing-in. Delays could arise from extended Senate holds, procedural snags in confirmation hearings, or unforeseen legal challenges, potentially pushing the handover into June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 95.5%
June 20–26 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
$78,842 交易量
$78,842 交易量
Before May 15
<1%
May 15–22
96%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 95.5%
June 20–26 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
$78,842 交易量
$78,842 交易量
Before May 15
<1%
May 15–22
96%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, 2026, after which he plans to step down from the role while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028, as confirmed in his April 29 press conference following the FOMC meeting. President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, advanced through the Senate Banking Committee that week, positioning him for a full Senate confirmation vote soon after. Traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a May 15–22 departure reflects this timeline, with historical precedent for chairs transitioning promptly upon term end or successor swearing-in. Delays could arise from extended Senate holds, procedural snags in confirmation hearings, or unforeseen legal challenges, potentially pushing the handover into June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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