Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence that President Trump will not attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before leaving office in January 2029, driven by formidable legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act requiring "for cause" removal—typically inefficiency or malfeasance, not policy disputes—as affirmed in historical precedents from Trump's first term where similar threats fizzled without action. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, enabling a seamless transition to nominee Kevin Warsh pending Senate confirmation, obviating any need for dismissal amid risks of market turmoil, elevated borrowing costs, and erosion of Fed independence. Recent April rhetoric and a dropped lawsuit underscore bluster over execution, with no concrete steps like an executive order or renewed litigation in the past month. Realistic shifts could stem from a stalled Warsh confirmation, unforeseen Powell scandal, or acute economic crisis prompting extraordinary measures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$88,682 交易量
$88,682 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$88,682 交易量
$88,682 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence that President Trump will not attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before leaving office in January 2029, driven by formidable legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act requiring "for cause" removal—typically inefficiency or malfeasance, not policy disputes—as affirmed in historical precedents from Trump's first term where similar threats fizzled without action. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, enabling a seamless transition to nominee Kevin Warsh pending Senate confirmation, obviating any need for dismissal amid risks of market turmoil, elevated borrowing costs, and erosion of Fed independence. Recent April rhetoric and a dropped lawsuit underscore bluster over execution, with no concrete steps like an executive order or renewed litigation in the past month. Realistic shifts could stem from a stalled Warsh confirmation, unforeseen Powell scandal, or acute economic crisis prompting extraordinary measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
交易量
$88,682结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence that President Trump will not attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before leaving office in January 2029, driven by formidable legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act requiring "for cause" removal—typically inefficiency or malfeasance, not policy disputes—as affirmed in historical precedents from Trump's first term where similar threats fizzled without action. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, enabling a seamless transition to nominee Kevin Warsh pending Senate confirmation, obviating any need for dismissal amid risks of market turmoil, elevated borrowing costs, and erosion of Fed independence. Recent April rhetoric and a dropped lawsuit underscore bluster over execution, with no concrete steps like an executive order or renewed litigation in the past month. Realistic shifts could stem from a stalled Warsh confirmation, unforeseen Powell scandal, or acute economic crisis prompting extraordinary measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$88,682结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-unanimous confidence that President Trump will not attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before leaving office in January 2029, driven by formidable legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act requiring "for cause" removal—typically inefficiency or malfeasance, not policy disputes—as affirmed in historical precedents from Trump's first term where similar threats fizzled without action. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, enabling a seamless transition to nominee Kevin Warsh pending Senate confirmation, obviating any need for dismissal amid risks of market turmoil, elevated borrowing costs, and erosion of Fed independence. Recent April rhetoric and a dropped lawsuit underscore bluster over execution, with no concrete steps like an executive order or renewed litigation in the past month. Realistic shifts could stem from a stalled Warsh confirmation, unforeseen Powell scandal, or acute economic crisis prompting extraordinary measures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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