US-Venezuela relations remain tense following the disputed July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolas Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations from opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's camp and international observers. In the past 30 days, the US imposed additional sanctions on Maduro regime officials for election repression and human rights abuses (November 2024), while monitoring Venezuelan military exercises near the Guyana border amid the Essequibo territorial dispute. No US military deployments or invasion rhetoric have emerged; policy emphasizes diplomacy, sanctions, and support for democratic transition via the State Department and OAS. Incoming Trump administration priorities, including border security and cartel threats, show no focus on Venezuelan invasion, with historical US aversion to Latin American interventions post-Panama 1989. Key upcoming events include Maduro's January 10, 2025, inauguration and ICJ hearings on Essequibo, which could prompt diplomatic responses but not military action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,102,225 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
<1%
12月31日
14%
$14,102,225 交易量
3月31日
$2,812,424 交易量
<1%
12月31日
$156,918 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US-Venezuela relations remain tense following the disputed July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolas Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations from opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's camp and international observers. In the past 30 days, the US imposed additional sanctions on Maduro regime officials for election repression and human rights abuses (November 2024), while monitoring Venezuelan military exercises near the Guyana border amid the Essequibo territorial dispute. No US military deployments or invasion rhetoric have emerged; policy emphasizes diplomacy, sanctions, and support for democratic transition via the State Department and OAS. Incoming Trump administration priorities, including border security and cartel threats, show no focus on Venezuelan invasion, with historical US aversion to Latin American interventions post-Panama 1989. Key upcoming events include Maduro's January 10, 2025, inauguration and ICJ hearings on Essequibo, which could prompt diplomatic responses but not military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$14,102,225结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US-Venezuela relations remain tense following the disputed July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolas Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations from opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's camp and international observers. In the past 30 days, the US imposed additional sanctions on Maduro regime officials for election repression and human rights abuses (November 2024), while monitoring Venezuelan military exercises near the Guyana border amid the Essequibo territorial dispute. No US military deployments or invasion rhetoric have emerged; policy emphasizes diplomacy, sanctions, and support for democratic transition via the State Department and OAS. Incoming Trump administration priorities, including border security and cartel threats, show no focus on Venezuelan invasion, with historical US aversion to Latin American interventions post-Panama 1989. Key upcoming events include Maduro's January 10, 2025, inauguration and ICJ hearings on Essequibo, which could prompt diplomatic responses but not military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,102,225结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Venezuela relations remain tense following the disputed July 28, 2024, presidential election, where Nicolas Maduro claimed victory amid widespread fraud allegations from opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's camp and international observers. In the past 30 days, the US imposed additional sanctions on Maduro regime officials for election repression and human rights abuses (November 2024), while monitoring Venezuelan military exercises near the Guyana border amid the Essequibo territorial dispute. No US military deployments or invasion rhetoric have emerged; policy emphasizes diplomacy, sanctions, and support for democratic transition via the State Department and OAS. Incoming Trump administration priorities, including border security and cartel threats, show no focus on Venezuelan invasion, with historical US aversion to Latin American interventions post-Panama 1989. Key upcoming events include Maduro's January 10, 2025, inauguration and ICJ hearings on Essequibo, which could prompt diplomatic responses but not military action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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