Market icon

2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?

Market icon

2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Treasury Department's March 26 announcement that President Trump's signature will appear alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's on future U.S. paper currency—marking a historic first for a sitting president to honor the 250th anniversary—drives the 96.5% "No" trader consensus, as it specifies first $100 bills printed by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in June, post-April 30 deadline. Currency production timelines, involving design approvals, plate fabrication, and printing cycles, routinely span months, rendering mere plans insufficient for market resolution, which requires confirmed printing or circulation. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen expedited production announcements by Treasury or BEP, though standard procedures and no prior acceleration signals bolster high confidence in "No."

Treasury Department's March 26 announcement that President Trump's signature will appear alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's on future U.S. paper currency—marking a historic first for a sitting president to honor the 250th anniversary—drives the 96.5% "No" trader consensus, as it specifies first $100 bills printed by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in June, post-April 30 deadline. Currency production timelines, involving design approvals, plate fabrication, and printing cycles, routinely span months, rendering mere plans insufficient for market resolution, which requires confirmed printing or circulation. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen expedited production announcements by Treasury or BEP, though standard procedures and no prior acceleration signals bolster high confidence in "No."

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Treasury Department's March 26 announcement that President Trump's signature will appear alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's on future U.S. paper currency—marking a historic first for a sitting president to honor the 250th anniversary—drives the 96.5% "No" trader consensus, as it specifies first $100 bills printed by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in June, post-April 30 deadline. Currency production timelines, involving design approvals, plate fabrication, and printing cycles, routinely span months, rendering mere plans insufficient for market resolution, which requires confirmed printing or circulation. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen expedited production announcements by Treasury or BEP, though standard procedures and no prior acceleration signals bolster high confidence in "No."

Treasury Department's March 26 announcement that President Trump's signature will appear alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's on future U.S. paper currency—marking a historic first for a sitting president to honor the 250th anniversary—drives the 96.5% "No" trader consensus, as it specifies first $100 bills printed by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in June, post-April 30 deadline. Currency production timelines, involving design approvals, plate fabrication, and printing cycles, routinely span months, rendering mere plans insufficient for market resolution, which requires confirmed printing or circulation. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen expedited production announcements by Treasury or BEP, though standard procedures and no prior acceleration signals bolster high confidence in "No."

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"印有特朗普签名的美元将在2026年4月30日前发行吗?",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?"的当前领先者是"印有特朗普签名的美元将在2026年4月30日前发行吗?",仅有 4%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"2026年4月30日前签发特朗普签名的美元?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。