Ongoing territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, supporting the 73.5% trader consensus against resolution before 2027. Multiple US-brokered negotiation rounds in 2025 and early 2026 produced draft frameworks but stalled over Russian demands for Ukrainian cessions in Donbas and other regions, with Kyiv rejecting terms that would formalize those losses. Recent developments, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing an immediate frontline ceasefire and bilateral talks, alongside Russian President Putin's conditional openness, have yielded only temporary holiday truces rather than durable commitments. Battlefield dynamics, with Russian forces showing limited recent gains amid Ukrainian drone advantages, further underscore the absence of conditions for rapid diplomatic closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$2,217,397 交易量
$2,217,397 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$2,217,397 交易量
$2,217,397 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, supporting the 73.5% trader consensus against resolution before 2027. Multiple US-brokered negotiation rounds in 2025 and early 2026 produced draft frameworks but stalled over Russian demands for Ukrainian cessions in Donbas and other regions, with Kyiv rejecting terms that would formalize those losses. Recent developments, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing an immediate frontline ceasefire and bilateral talks, alongside Russian President Putin's conditional openness, have yielded only temporary holiday truces rather than durable commitments. Battlefield dynamics, with Russian forces showing limited recent gains amid Ukrainian drone advantages, further underscore the absence of conditions for rapid diplomatic closure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,217,397结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, supporting the 73.5% trader consensus against resolution before 2027. Multiple US-brokered negotiation rounds in 2025 and early 2026 produced draft frameworks but stalled over Russian demands for Ukrainian cessions in Donbas and other regions, with Kyiv rejecting terms that would formalize those losses. Recent developments, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing an immediate frontline ceasefire and bilateral talks, alongside Russian President Putin's conditional openness, have yielded only temporary holiday truces rather than durable commitments. Battlefield dynamics, with Russian forces showing limited recent gains amid Ukrainian drone advantages, further underscore the absence of conditions for rapid diplomatic closure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,217,397结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing territorial disputes and security guarantee disagreements continue to block a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, supporting the 73.5% trader consensus against resolution before 2027. Multiple US-brokered negotiation rounds in 2025 and early 2026 produced draft frameworks but stalled over Russian demands for Ukrainian cessions in Donbas and other regions, with Kyiv rejecting terms that would formalize those losses. Recent developments, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing an immediate frontline ceasefire and bilateral talks, alongside Russian President Putin's conditional openness, have yielded only temporary holiday truces rather than durable commitments. Battlefield dynamics, with Russian forces showing limited recent gains amid Ukrainian drone advantages, further underscore the absence of conditions for rapid diplomatic closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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