Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast over the past week, capturing nearby hamlets like Holubivka and Stepova Novoselivka, bringing troops closer to Viroliubivka according to geolocated footage from frontline reports. As of November 4, Ukrainian defenses continue to hold the village amid ongoing assaults, with no confirmed Russian capture in the last 48 hours per Institute for the Study of War assessments and DeepStateUA maps. Harsh autumn weather and Ukrainian counter-battery fire have slowed momentum, though escalation risks persist with no major diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders monitor daily frontline updates, as marginal gains could tip control before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,133 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
3%
4月30日
16%
$14,133 交易量
3月31日
$10,511 交易量
3%
4月30日
$3,622 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast over the past week, capturing nearby hamlets like Holubivka and Stepova Novoselivka, bringing troops closer to Viroliubivka according to geolocated footage from frontline reports. As of November 4, Ukrainian defenses continue to hold the village amid ongoing assaults, with no confirmed Russian capture in the last 48 hours per Institute for the Study of War assessments and DeepStateUA maps. Harsh autumn weather and Ukrainian counter-battery fire have slowed momentum, though escalation risks persist with no major diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders monitor daily frontline updates, as marginal gains could tip control before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
交易量
$14,133结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast over the past week, capturing nearby hamlets like Holubivka and Stepova Novoselivka, bringing troops closer to Viroliubivka according to geolocated footage from frontline reports. As of November 4, Ukrainian defenses continue to hold the village amid ongoing assaults, with no confirmed Russian capture in the last 48 hours per Institute for the Study of War assessments and DeepStateUA maps. Harsh autumn weather and Ukrainian counter-battery fire have slowed momentum, though escalation risks persist with no major diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders monitor daily frontline updates, as marginal gains could tip control before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
交易量
$14,133结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast over the past week, capturing nearby hamlets like Holubivka and Stepova Novoselivka, bringing troops closer to Viroliubivka according to geolocated footage from frontline reports. As of November 4, Ukrainian defenses continue to hold the village amid ongoing assaults, with no confirmed Russian capture in the last 48 hours per Institute for the Study of War assessments and DeepStateUA maps. Harsh autumn weather and Ukrainian counter-battery fire have slowed momentum, though escalation risks persist with no major diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders monitor daily frontline updates, as marginal gains could tip control before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题