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普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?

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普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?

4% chance
Polymarket

$1,003,676 交易量

4% chance
Polymarket

$1,003,676 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's re-election in March 2024 secures his presidential term until 2030, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments allowing potential service until 2036, underpinning trader consensus at 95.8% for "No" on his removal by June 30. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or institutional challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite persistent unconfirmed rumors of coughing fits and Kremlin infighting circulated on social media and fringe outlets—claims routinely denied by officials and dismissed amid Putin's ongoing public appearances and military oversight. His firm control over security apparatus, FSB, and siloviki minimizes resignation or ouster risks. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, assassination, or elite mutiny, though historical patterns show such speculation rarely materializes absent concrete evidence.

Vladimir Putin's re-election in March 2024 secures his presidential term until 2030, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments allowing potential service until 2036, underpinning trader consensus at 95.8% for "No" on his removal by June 30. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or institutional challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite persistent unconfirmed rumors of coughing fits and Kremlin infighting circulated on social media and fringe outlets—claims routinely denied by officials and dismissed amid Putin's ongoing public appearances and military oversight. His firm control over security apparatus, FSB, and siloviki minimizes resignation or ouster risks. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, assassination, or elite mutiny, though historical patterns show such speculation rarely materializes absent concrete evidence.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's re-election in March 2024 secures his presidential term until 2030, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments allowing potential service until 2036, underpinning trader consensus at 95.8% for "No" on his removal by June 30. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or institutional challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite persistent unconfirmed rumors of coughing fits and Kremlin infighting circulated on social media and fringe outlets—claims routinely denied by officials and dismissed amid Putin's ongoing public appearances and military oversight. His firm control over security apparatus, FSB, and siloviki minimizes resignation or ouster risks. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, assassination, or elite mutiny, though historical patterns show such speculation rarely materializes absent concrete evidence.

Vladimir Putin's re-election in March 2024 secures his presidential term until 2030, bolstered by 2020 constitutional amendments allowing potential service until 2036, underpinning trader consensus at 95.8% for "No" on his removal by June 30. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or institutional challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite persistent unconfirmed rumors of coughing fits and Kremlin infighting circulated on social media and fringe outlets—claims routinely denied by officials and dismissed amid Putin's ongoing public appearances and military oversight. His firm control over security apparatus, FSB, and siloviki minimizes resignation or ouster risks. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, assassination, or elite mutiny, though historical patterns show such speculation rarely materializes absent concrete evidence.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"普京会在6月30日前卸任俄罗斯总统吗?",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?"已产生 $1 million 的总交易量(自Dec 17, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?"的当前领先者是"普京会在6月30日前卸任俄罗斯总统吗?",仅有 4%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"普京在6月30日前就任俄罗斯总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。