Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk and stalled Ukrainian counteroffensives in Kursk have reinforced trader consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, with "No" shares at 80.5%. President Zelenskyy's recent insistence on full Russian withdrawal as a precondition for any talks, coupled with Putin's demands for territorial recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, highlight irreconcilable positions blocking such a vote. No official announcements or legislative moves toward a referendum have emerged in the past 30 days, amid continued airstrikes and Western aid debates. Incoming U.S. President Trump's pledge for quick resolution remains vague on mechanisms like referendums, leaving structural barriers and public opposition in Ukraine as key hurdles to market resolution by year's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk and stalled Ukrainian counteroffensives in Kursk have reinforced trader consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, with "No" shares at 80.5%. President Zelenskyy's recent insistence on full Russian withdrawal as a precondition for any talks, coupled with Putin's demands for territorial recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, highlight irreconcilable positions blocking such a vote. No official announcements or legislative moves toward a referendum have emerged in the past 30 days, amid continued airstrikes and Western aid debates. Incoming U.S. President Trump's pledge for quick resolution remains vague on mechanisms like referendums, leaving structural barriers and public opposition in Ukraine as key hurdles to market resolution by year's end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$8,915结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk and stalled Ukrainian counteroffensives in Kursk have reinforced trader consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, with "No" shares at 80.5%. President Zelenskyy's recent insistence on full Russian withdrawal as a precondition for any talks, coupled with Putin's demands for territorial recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, highlight irreconcilable positions blocking such a vote. No official announcements or legislative moves toward a referendum have emerged in the past 30 days, amid continued airstrikes and Western aid debates. Incoming U.S. President Trump's pledge for quick resolution remains vague on mechanisms like referendums, leaving structural barriers and public opposition in Ukraine as key hurdles to market resolution by year's end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,915结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk and stalled Ukrainian counteroffensives in Kursk have reinforced trader consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, with "No" shares at 80.5%. President Zelenskyy's recent insistence on full Russian withdrawal as a precondition for any talks, coupled with Putin's demands for territorial recognition of annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, highlight irreconcilable positions blocking such a vote. No official announcements or legislative moves toward a referendum have emerged in the past 30 days, amid continued airstrikes and Western aid debates. Incoming U.S. President Trump's pledge for quick resolution remains vague on mechanisms like referendums, leaving structural barriers and public opposition in Ukraine as key hurdles to market resolution by year's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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