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体育·和平

俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会

Market icon
体育·和平

俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会

是

17% chance
Polymarket

$384,012 交易量

是

17% chance
Polymarket

$384,012 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia maintains dominant recent form with incremental territorial gains in Donbas, capturing villages near Pokrovsk amid intensified assaults over the past week, fueling trader consensus at 83% implied probability for "No" on the peace parlay. Ukraine's defensive matchup faces added pressure from North Korean troop reinforcements on Russian lines in Kursk, reported in the last 48 hours, while Zelenskyy's outright rejection of Putin's four-point demands—including territorial concessions and demilitarization—has stalled any diplomatic momentum. No significant "injuries" like leadership shakeups or breakthroughs post-US election have emerged, underscoring a protracted stalemate reflected in the wisdom of crowds pricing persistent hostilities over resolution.

Russia maintains dominant recent form with incremental territorial gains in Donbas, capturing villages near Pokrovsk amid intensified assaults over the past week, fueling trader consensus at 83% implied probability for "No" on the peace parlay. Ukraine's defensive matchup faces added pressure from North Korean troop reinforcements on Russian lines in Kursk, reported in the last 48 hours, while Zelenskyy's outright rejection of Putin's four-point demands—including territorial concessions and demilitarization—has stalled any diplomatic momentum. No significant "injuries" like leadership shakeups or breakthroughs post-US election have emerged, underscoring a protracted stalemate reflected in the wisdom of crowds pricing persistent hostilities over resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia maintains dominant recent form with incremental territorial gains in Donbas, capturing villages near Pokrovsk amid intensified assaults over the past week, fueling trader consensus at 83% implied probability for "No" on the peace parlay. Ukraine's defensive matchup faces added pressure from North Korean troop reinforcements on Russian lines in Kursk, reported in the last 48 hours, while Zelenskyy's outright rejection of Putin's four-point demands—including territorial concessions and demilitarization—has stalled any diplomatic momentum. No significant "injuries" like leadership shakeups or breakthroughs post-US election have emerged, underscoring a protracted stalemate reflected in the wisdom of crowds pricing persistent hostilities over resolution.

Russia maintains dominant recent form with incremental territorial gains in Donbas, capturing villages near Pokrovsk amid intensified assaults over the past week, fueling trader consensus at 83% implied probability for "No" on the peace parlay. Ukraine's defensive matchup faces added pressure from North Korean troop reinforcements on Russian lines in Kursk, reported in the last 48 hours, while Zelenskyy's outright rejection of Putin's four-point demands—including territorial concessions and demilitarization—has stalled any diplomatic momentum. No significant "injuries" like leadership shakeups or breakthroughs post-US election have emerged, underscoring a protracted stalemate reflected in the wisdom of crowds pricing persistent hostilities over resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"俄罗斯与乌克兰和平谈判"，概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 17¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 17%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会"已产生 $384K 的总交易量（自Nov 24, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会"的当前领先者是"俄罗斯与乌克兰和平谈判"，概率为 17%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄罗斯x乌克兰和平协会"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。