Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks, including recent Florida sessions on March 21-22, have stalled amid Middle East escalations diverting attention and resources, with Moscow citing a "situational pause" on March 19 while Kyiv pushes for resumption. Russia's renewed spring offensive, capturing settlements like Shevyakivka and Brusovka amid Ukrainian manpower strains, bolsters its negotiating leverage by demanding territorial concessions in Donbas that Zelenskyy rejects outright. Core disputes over security guarantees, NATO aspirations, and occupied regions like Crimea persist without breakthrough, as evidenced by Reuters reports of no progress on key issues. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock, with slim odds of resolution by June 30 barring unforeseen diplomatic surges or ceasefires.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$65,290 交易量
$65,290 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$65,290 交易量
$65,290 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks, including recent Florida sessions on March 21-22, have stalled amid Middle East escalations diverting attention and resources, with Moscow citing a "situational pause" on March 19 while Kyiv pushes for resumption. Russia's renewed spring offensive, capturing settlements like Shevyakivka and Brusovka amid Ukrainian manpower strains, bolsters its negotiating leverage by demanding territorial concessions in Donbas that Zelenskyy rejects outright. Core disputes over security guarantees, NATO aspirations, and occupied regions like Crimea persist without breakthrough, as evidenced by Reuters reports of no progress on key issues. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock, with slim odds of resolution by June 30 barring unforeseen diplomatic surges or ceasefires.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$65,290结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks, including recent Florida sessions on March 21-22, have stalled amid Middle East escalations diverting attention and resources, with Moscow citing a "situational pause" on March 19 while Kyiv pushes for resumption. Russia's renewed spring offensive, capturing settlements like Shevyakivka and Brusovka amid Ukrainian manpower strains, bolsters its negotiating leverage by demanding territorial concessions in Donbas that Zelenskyy rejects outright. Core disputes over security guarantees, NATO aspirations, and occupied regions like Crimea persist without breakthrough, as evidenced by Reuters reports of no progress on key issues. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock, with slim odds of resolution by June 30 barring unforeseen diplomatic surges or ceasefires.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$65,290结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks, including recent Florida sessions on March 21-22, have stalled amid Middle East escalations diverting attention and resources, with Moscow citing a "situational pause" on March 19 while Kyiv pushes for resumption. Russia's renewed spring offensive, capturing settlements like Shevyakivka and Brusovka amid Ukrainian manpower strains, bolsters its negotiating leverage by demanding territorial concessions in Donbas that Zelenskyy rejects outright. Core disputes over security guarantees, NATO aspirations, and occupied regions like Crimea persist without breakthrough, as evidenced by Reuters reports of no progress on key issues. Traders' 91.5% "No" consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock, with slim odds of resolution by June 30 barring unforeseen diplomatic surges or ceasefires.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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