Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of any NATO membership moratorium before 2027 has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% against such an agreement, amid stalled peace talks with Russia. Following U.S. President-elect Trump's election and calls for a swift ceasefire involving Ukrainian neutrality, Zelenskyy reaffirmed NATO accession as non-negotiable during recent European diplomatic engagements and NATO statements of support. Moscow continues demanding permanent non-alignment as a precondition for de-escalation, but Kyiv views it as a security red line, with no bilateral commitments emerging. Upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy discussions could pressure odds, though historical alliance resistance suggests barriers to any deal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$69,052 交易量
$69,052 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$69,052 交易量
$69,052 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of any NATO membership moratorium before 2027 has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% against such an agreement, amid stalled peace talks with Russia. Following U.S. President-elect Trump's election and calls for a swift ceasefire involving Ukrainian neutrality, Zelenskyy reaffirmed NATO accession as non-negotiable during recent European diplomatic engagements and NATO statements of support. Moscow continues demanding permanent non-alignment as a precondition for de-escalation, but Kyiv views it as a security red line, with no bilateral commitments emerging. Upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy discussions could pressure odds, though historical alliance resistance suggests barriers to any deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$69,052结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of any NATO membership moratorium before 2027 has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% against such an agreement, amid stalled peace talks with Russia. Following U.S. President-elect Trump's election and calls for a swift ceasefire involving Ukrainian neutrality, Zelenskyy reaffirmed NATO accession as non-negotiable during recent European diplomatic engagements and NATO statements of support. Moscow continues demanding permanent non-alignment as a precondition for de-escalation, but Kyiv views it as a security red line, with no bilateral commitments emerging. Upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy discussions could pressure odds, though historical alliance resistance suggests barriers to any deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
交易量
$69,052结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of any NATO membership moratorium before 2027 has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% against such an agreement, amid stalled peace talks with Russia. Following U.S. President-elect Trump's election and calls for a swift ceasefire involving Ukrainian neutrality, Zelenskyy reaffirmed NATO accession as non-negotiable during recent European diplomatic engagements and NATO statements of support. Moscow continues demanding permanent non-alignment as a precondition for de-escalation, but Kyiv views it as a security red line, with no bilateral commitments emerging. Upcoming Trump-Zelenskyy discussions could pressure odds, though historical alliance resistance suggests barriers to any deal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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