President Zelenskyy's recent rejection of territorial concessions in the Donbas region, reiterated amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, anchors trader consensus at 86.5% against Kyiv agreeing to cede the remaining areas before 2027. In a March 25 Reuters interview, Zelenskyy claimed U.S. security guarantees are conditioned on withdrawal from Donbas, a charge denied by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who insists guarantees follow a ceasefire but without U.S. demands for territorial handover—Russia, however, maintains its insistence on full control. Ukraine's constitution prohibits such cessions, public polls show strong opposition, and Institute for the Study of War assessments indicate Russian forces unlikely to seize the rest militarily before late 2027, reinforcing expectations of Ukrainian resolve amid diplomatic impasse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$50,793 交易量
$50,793 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$50,793 交易量
$50,793 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Zelenskyy's recent rejection of territorial concessions in the Donbas region, reiterated amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, anchors trader consensus at 86.5% against Kyiv agreeing to cede the remaining areas before 2027. In a March 25 Reuters interview, Zelenskyy claimed U.S. security guarantees are conditioned on withdrawal from Donbas, a charge denied by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who insists guarantees follow a ceasefire but without U.S. demands for territorial handover—Russia, however, maintains its insistence on full control. Ukraine's constitution prohibits such cessions, public polls show strong opposition, and Institute for the Study of War assessments indicate Russian forces unlikely to seize the rest militarily before late 2027, reinforcing expectations of Ukrainian resolve amid diplomatic impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
交易量
$50,793结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Zelenskyy's recent rejection of territorial concessions in the Donbas region, reiterated amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, anchors trader consensus at 86.5% against Kyiv agreeing to cede the remaining areas before 2027. In a March 25 Reuters interview, Zelenskyy claimed U.S. security guarantees are conditioned on withdrawal from Donbas, a charge denied by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who insists guarantees follow a ceasefire but without U.S. demands for territorial handover—Russia, however, maintains its insistence on full control. Ukraine's constitution prohibits such cessions, public polls show strong opposition, and Institute for the Study of War assessments indicate Russian forces unlikely to seize the rest militarily before late 2027, reinforcing expectations of Ukrainian resolve amid diplomatic impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$50,793结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Zelenskyy's recent rejection of territorial concessions in the Donbas region, reiterated amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, anchors trader consensus at 86.5% against Kyiv agreeing to cede the remaining areas before 2027. In a March 25 Reuters interview, Zelenskyy claimed U.S. security guarantees are conditioned on withdrawal from Donbas, a charge denied by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who insists guarantees follow a ceasefire but without U.S. demands for territorial handover—Russia, however, maintains its insistence on full control. Ukraine's constitution prohibits such cessions, public polls show strong opposition, and Institute for the Study of War assessments indicate Russian forces unlikely to seize the rest militarily before late 2027, reinforcing expectations of Ukrainian resolve amid diplomatic impasse.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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