Traders price a 76% chance of no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, reflecting entrenched positions amid Ukraine's August Kursk incursion and Russian advances in Donbas, which signal ongoing escalation rather than de-escalation for direct diplomacy. No bilateral talks have occurred since the 2019 Normandy summit, with Russia demanding recognition of annexed territories and Ukraine insisting on full withdrawal. Indirect channels persist—Turkey hosted grain deal talks in 2022, Saudi Arabia and Qatar/Qatar/UAE drew delegations in June 2024, Hungary's Orbán met both leaders separately this summer, and Switzerland's June peace summit excluded Putin—but none bridge to a leaders' summit. US election outcome and potential Trump-mediated talks loom as wildcards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前不会会面 76%
土耳其 3.0%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 3.0%
美国 2.6%
$1,347,259 交易量
$1,347,259 交易量

2027年前不会会面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
3%

美国
3%

匈牙利
2%

瑞士
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

Russia
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%

中国
1%

乌克兰
1%

印度
1%
2027年前不会会面 76%
土耳其 3.0%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 3.0%
美国 2.6%
$1,347,259 交易量
$1,347,259 交易量

2027年前不会会面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
3%

美国
3%

匈牙利
2%

瑞士
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

Russia
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%

中国
1%

乌克兰
1%

印度
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders price a 76% chance of no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, reflecting entrenched positions amid Ukraine's August Kursk incursion and Russian advances in Donbas, which signal ongoing escalation rather than de-escalation for direct diplomacy. No bilateral talks have occurred since the 2019 Normandy summit, with Russia demanding recognition of annexed territories and Ukraine insisting on full withdrawal. Indirect channels persist—Turkey hosted grain deal talks in 2022, Saudi Arabia and Qatar/Qatar/UAE drew delegations in June 2024, Hungary's Orbán met both leaders separately this summer, and Switzerland's June peace summit excluded Putin—but none bridge to a leaders' summit. US election outcome and potential Trump-mediated talks loom as wildcards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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