Traders heavily favor no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Russia's insistence on recognizing annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's call for full troop withdrawal and reparations. Recent drivers include Russia's absence from Switzerland's June 2024 peace summit, ongoing Donbas advances, and a December Putin interview signaling no major concessions despite Zelenskyy's ceasefire overtures. Slim odds for venues like Turkey (2.9%) stem from Erdoğan's repeated mediation offers and past grain deal hosting, while Hungary (2.1%) reflects Orbán's bilateral visits; US (2.3%) eyes Trump-era diplomacy post-January inauguration, but historical no-shows since 2022 underpin trader skepticism absent breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前不会会面 76%
土耳其 2.9%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 2.4%
美国 2.3%
$1,181,171 交易量
$1,181,171 交易量

2027年前不会会面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

美国
2%

匈牙利
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

Russia
2%

瑞士
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%

印度
1%

乌克兰
1%
2027年前不会会面 76%
土耳其 2.9%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 2.4%
美国 2.3%
$1,181,171 交易量
$1,181,171 交易量

2027年前不会会面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

美国
2%

匈牙利
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

Russia
2%

瑞士
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%

印度
1%

乌克兰
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Russia's insistence on recognizing annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's call for full troop withdrawal and reparations. Recent drivers include Russia's absence from Switzerland's June 2024 peace summit, ongoing Donbas advances, and a December Putin interview signaling no major concessions despite Zelenskyy's ceasefire overtures. Slim odds for venues like Turkey (2.9%) stem from Erdoğan's repeated mediation offers and past grain deal hosting, while Hungary (2.1%) reflects Orbán's bilateral visits; US (2.3%) eyes Trump-era diplomacy post-January inauguration, but historical no-shows since 2022 underpin trader skepticism absent breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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