Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于格雷戈里·杜塞特 100.0%
亚历山大·杜帕莱 <1%
纳塔莉·佩兰-吉尔伯特 <1%
让-米歇尔·奥拉斯 <1%
$2,720,337 交易量
$2,720,337 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
格雷戈里·杜塞特
是
亚历山大·杜帕莱
否
纳塔莉·佩兰-吉尔伯特
否
让-米歇尔·奥拉斯
否
Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi
否
乔治·凯佩内基安
否
格雷戈里·杜塞特 100.0%
亚历山大·杜帕莱 <1%
纳塔莉·佩兰-吉尔伯特 <1%
让-米歇尔·奥拉斯 <1%
$2,720,337 交易量
$2,720,337 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
格雷戈里·杜塞特
$463,581 交易量
是
亚历山大·杜帕莱
$70,798 交易量
否
纳塔莉·佩兰-吉尔伯特
$1,768,212 交易量
否
让-米歇尔·奥拉斯
$417,747 交易量
否
Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi
$0 交易量
否
乔治·凯佩内基安
$0 交易量
否
The 2026 Lyon municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Lyon, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.
The 2026 Lyon municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Lyon, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
市场开放时间： Nov 14, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$2,720,337结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 2026 Lyon municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Lyon, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.
The 2026 Lyon municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Lyon, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
交易量
$2,720,337结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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