Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links (March 16–21, 2026) show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, leading with 27–31% voting intention in the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation for 240 seats. This translates to trader consensus of 90–94 seats (48.5%) and 85–89 (28.5%), aligning with aggregators projecting PB at around 91 seats amid a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 19–22%, followed by PP-DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. PB's surge reflects Radev's appeal to non-voters and anti-corruption messaging post-Zhelyazkov government resignation in December 2025, though a slight dip in some surveys tempers 95+ odds at 22%. Coalition negotiations loom as no party nears the 121-seat majority, with campaign events through mid-April as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于90-94 49%
85-89 29%
95+ 22%
80-84 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<75
7%
75-79
8%
80-84
11%
85-89
29%
90-94
49%
95+
22%
90-94 49%
85-89 29%
95+ 22%
80-84 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<75
$290 交易量
7%
75-79
$388 交易量
8%
80-84
$21 交易量
11%
85-89
$15 交易量
29%
90-94
$785 交易量
49%
95+
$24 交易量
22%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links (March 16–21, 2026) show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, leading with 27–31% voting intention in the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation for 240 seats. This translates to trader consensus of 90–94 seats (48.5%) and 85–89 (28.5%), aligning with aggregators projecting PB at around 91 seats amid a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 19–22%, followed by PP-DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. PB's surge reflects Radev's appeal to non-voters and anti-corruption messaging post-Zhelyazkov government resignation in December 2025, though a slight dip in some surveys tempers 95+ odds at 22%. Coalition negotiations loom as no party nears the 121-seat majority, with campaign events through mid-April as key catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$1,523结束日期
Apr 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links (March 16–21, 2026) show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, leading with 27–31% voting intention in the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation for 240 seats. This translates to trader consensus of 90–94 seats (48.5%) and 85–89 (28.5%), aligning with aggregators projecting PB at around 91 seats amid a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 19–22%, followed by PP-DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. PB's surge reflects Radev's appeal to non-voters and anti-corruption messaging post-Zhelyazkov government resignation in December 2025, though a slight dip in some surveys tempers 95+ odds at 22%. Coalition negotiations loom as no party nears the 121-seat majority, with campaign events through mid-April as key catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$1,523结束日期
Apr 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links (March 16–21, 2026) show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev, leading with 27–31% voting intention in the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation for 240 seats. This translates to trader consensus of 90–94 seats (48.5%) and 85–89 (28.5%), aligning with aggregators projecting PB at around 91 seats amid a fragmented field where GERB-SDS trails at 19–22%, followed by PP-DB, DPS, and Vazrazhdane. PB's surge reflects Radev's appeal to non-voters and anti-corruption messaging post-Zhelyazkov government resignation in December 2025, though a slight dip in some surveys tempers 95+ odds at 22%. Coalition negotiations loom as no party nears the 121-seat majority, with campaign events through mid-April as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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