Incumbent Vice President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% for Bulgaria's next presidential election, buoyed by recent opinion polls highlighting her popularity amid ongoing political instability following the October 27 parliamentary vote, where her BSP party secured 10.6% amid fragmented results. Nikolai Denkov at 21.5% reflects optimism around Continue the Change-Democrats' potential coalition role after GERB's plurality win, positioning him as a pro-EU alternative. GERB-linked candidates like Rosen Zhelyazkov (11%) and former President Rosen Plevneliev (9.3%) trail due to internal party debates over Boyko Borissov's lower 7.2% odds and leadership dynamics. Atanas Atanasov (11.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. Coalition negotiations and President Radev's mandates could shift sentiment ahead of the expected 2026 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于伊莉安娜·约托娃 40%
尼科莱·登科夫 21%
罗森·普列夫内利耶夫 17.2%
阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫 11.3%
$47,675 交易量
$47,675 交易量
伊莉安娜·约托娃
40%
尼科莱·登科夫
21%
罗森·普列夫内利耶夫
9%
阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫
11%
罗森·热利亚兹科夫
11%
鲍伊科·鲍里索夫
7%
布拉戈米尔·科切夫
6%
瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫
6%
娜塔莉娅·基塞洛娃
5%
科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫
3%
德利扬·佩夫斯基
2%
克鲁姆·扎尔科夫
1%
亚纳基·斯托伊洛夫
6%
伊莉安娜·约托娃 40%
尼科莱·登科夫 21%
罗森·普列夫内利耶夫 17.2%
阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫 11.3%
$47,675 交易量
$47,675 交易量
伊莉安娜·约托娃
40%
尼科莱·登科夫
21%
罗森·普列夫内利耶夫
9%
阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫
11%
罗森·热利亚兹科夫
11%
鲍伊科·鲍里索夫
7%
布拉戈米尔·科切夫
6%
瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫
6%
娜塔莉娅·基塞洛娃
5%
科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫
3%
德利扬·佩夫斯基
2%
克鲁姆·扎尔科夫
1%
亚纳基·斯托伊洛夫
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Vice President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% for Bulgaria's next presidential election, buoyed by recent opinion polls highlighting her popularity amid ongoing political instability following the October 27 parliamentary vote, where her BSP party secured 10.6% amid fragmented results. Nikolai Denkov at 21.5% reflects optimism around Continue the Change-Democrats' potential coalition role after GERB's plurality win, positioning him as a pro-EU alternative. GERB-linked candidates like Rosen Zhelyazkov (11%) and former President Rosen Plevneliev (9.3%) trail due to internal party debates over Boyko Borissov's lower 7.2% odds and leadership dynamics. Atanas Atanasov (11.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. Coalition negotiations and President Radev's mandates could shift sentiment ahead of the expected 2026 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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