Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Name: Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Start: 2026-03-23T15:55:46.034Z
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z

政治·匈牙利选举

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

NEW

Apr 12, 2026

Mi Hazánk

$3,928 交易量

62%

$660 交易量

MKKP

$740 交易量

$5,328 交易量

Mi Hazánk

$3,928 交易量

62%

$660 交易量

MKKP

$740 交易量

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Péter Magyar's Tisza Party has surged in recent polls, polling near or above Fidesz's 34-36% share as of mid-December 2024 surveys from Publicus and Median, driven by public frustration over inflation, corruption allegations, and Orbán's Ukraine policy vetoes in the EU. The Democratic Coalition (DK) holds steady at 12-15%, while Mi Hazánk edges above the 5% national list threshold needed for single parties to enter the 199-seat parliament under Hungary's mixed electoral system of 106 single-member districts and proportional allocation. Momentum and smaller parties like LMP trail below viability. No snap election is scheduled before the standard April 2026 vote, but ongoing economic pressures and potential coalition dynamics could shift list formations and district races.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于 Mar 26, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mi Hazánk"，概率为 62%，其次是"DK"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 23, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的当前领先者是"Mi Hazánk"，概率为 62%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"DK"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。

可以。你不需要交易也能保持了解。本页是"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的实时跟踪器。结果概率会随着新交易的进入而实时更新。你可以将本页加入书签并查看评论区以了解其他交易者的看法。你还可以使用图表上的时间范围筛选器查看赔率随时间的变化情况。

Polymarket 的赔率由真实交易者用真金白银支持其判断来设定，这往往能产生准确的预测。“Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?”仍在积累其交易基础，因此随着更多参与者进入市场，赔率将变得越来越可靠。像 Polymarket 这样的预测市场有着出色的准确性记录，尤其是当事件接近结算日期时。例如，Polymarket 的一个月准确度评分为 94%。有关 Polymarket 预测准确度的最新统计数据，请访问准确度页面。

要在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"上进行第一笔交易，请注册免费的 Polymarket 账户，并使用加密货币、信用卡或借记卡或银行转账充值。账户充值后，返回本页，选择你想交易的结果，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你是预测市场的新手，请点击任何 Polymarket 页面顶部的"运作方式"链接，获取分步指南。

在 Polymarket 上，每个结果的价格代表市场的隐含概率。在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"市场中，"Mi Hazánk"的价格为 62¢，意味着交易者集体认为"Mi Hazánk"成为正确结果的概率约为 62%。如果你以 62¢ 买入"是"份额且结果正确，你将获得每份 $1.00——利润为每份 38¢。如果不正确，这些份额价值 $0。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"市场预计在 Apr 12, 2026 前后结算。这意味着在此日期之前，交易将保持开放，赔率将继续变化。具体结算时间取决于官方结果何时可用，如"规则"部分所述。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"市场是最近创建的。成为最早分享分析的人之一，在下方发表评论，或稍后回来查看。你还可以查看"活动"标签以获取最近交易的实时动态。

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场，你可以在此了解最新动态并利用自己对现实事件的知识获利。交易者买卖涵盖政治选举、加密货币、金融、体育、科技和文化等各种主题的结果份额，包括"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"等市场。价格反映由金融信念支持的实时概率，通常比民调、专家或传统调查提供更快、更准确的信号。

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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常见问题

什么是"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"预测市场？

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"在 Polymarket 上产生了多少交易活动？

如何在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"上交易？

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的当前赔率是多少？

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"如何结算？

我可以在不交易的情况下关注"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"吗？

为什么 Polymarket 对"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的赔率被认为是可靠的？

如何开始在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"上交易？

"Mi Hazánk"的价格 62¢ 意味着什么？

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"市场何时关闭？

交易者对"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"有什么看法？

什么是 Polymarket？