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匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?

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匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?

$601,208 交易量

2026-04-12
Polymarket

$601,208 交易量

Polymarket

60+

$90,617 交易量

No

70+

$118,577 交易量

No

80+

$211,596 交易量

90+

$99,015 交易量

100+

$50,889 交易量

110+

$30,513 交易量

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a seismic shift, with over 98% of votes counted showing Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party securing a supermajority of 136 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats. Fidesz-KDNP, led by outgoing Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, captured 56 seats amid record 79.5% turnout driven by economic stagnation, frozen EU funds exceeding €20 billion, and corruption scandals. Orbán conceded after 16 years in power, paving the way for Tisza-led government formation following National Election Commission certification and parliament's convening within weeks. Traders await final tallies amid minimal recounts, reflecting pre-election polls favoring Tisza's anti-corruption platform and pro-EU pivot.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$601,208
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a seismic shift, with over 98% of votes counted showing Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party securing a supermajority of 136 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats. Fidesz-KDNP, led by outgoing Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, captured 56 seats amid record 79.5% turnout driven by economic stagnation, frozen EU funds exceeding €20 billion, and corruption scandals. Orbán conceded after 16 years in power, paving the way for Tisza-led government formation following National Election Commission certification and parliament's convening within weeks. Traders await final tallies amid minimal recounts, reflecting pre-election polls favoring Tisza's anti-corruption platform and pro-EU pivot.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$601,208
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"60+",概率为 0%,其次是"70+",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?"已产生 $601.2K 的总交易量(自Mar 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?"的当前领先者是"60+",仅有 0%,"70+"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"匈牙利大选: Fidesz-KDNP赢得___个席位?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。