Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, with "No" at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of credible mechanisms for early removal such as impeachment conviction, resignation, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent developments underscore stability: Trump delivered a primetime address on April 1 declaring U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran conflict nearing completion after one month, while signing an executive order on March 31 on election citizenship verification. Symbolic House impeachment resolutions (H.Res. 939 and 353) introduced by Democrats have stalled amid Republican majorities in Congress, with no committee advancement or Senate trials imminent. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain distant, and historical precedents show low rates of early presidential exits absent extraordinary crises. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or legal rulings could shift odds, but current evidence points to continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$1,965,689 交易量
$1,965,689 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,965,689 交易量
$1,965,689 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, with "No" at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of credible mechanisms for early removal such as impeachment conviction, resignation, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent developments underscore stability: Trump delivered a primetime address on April 1 declaring U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran conflict nearing completion after one month, while signing an executive order on March 31 on election citizenship verification. Symbolic House impeachment resolutions (H.Res. 939 and 353) introduced by Democrats have stalled amid Republican majorities in Congress, with no committee advancement or Senate trials imminent. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain distant, and historical precedents show low rates of early presidential exits absent extraordinary crises. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or legal rulings could shift odds, but current evidence points to continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,965,689结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, with "No" at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of credible mechanisms for early removal such as impeachment conviction, resignation, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent developments underscore stability: Trump delivered a primetime address on April 1 declaring U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran conflict nearing completion after one month, while signing an executive order on March 31 on election citizenship verification. Symbolic House impeachment resolutions (H.Res. 939 and 353) introduced by Democrats have stalled amid Republican majorities in Congress, with no committee advancement or Senate trials imminent. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain distant, and historical precedents show low rates of early presidential exits absent extraordinary crises. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or legal rulings could shift odds, but current evidence points to continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,965,689结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, with "No" at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of credible mechanisms for early removal such as impeachment conviction, resignation, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent developments underscore stability: Trump delivered a primetime address on April 1 declaring U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran conflict nearing completion after one month, while signing an executive order on March 31 on election citizenship verification. Symbolic House impeachment resolutions (H.Res. 939 and 353) introduced by Democrats have stalled amid Republican majorities in Congress, with no committee advancement or Senate trials imminent. Midterm elections in November 2026 remain distant, and historical precedents show low rates of early presidential exits absent extraordinary crises. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or legal rulings could shift odds, but current evidence points to continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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