Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting the absence of viable paths to early removal despite recent Democratic pushes for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment. House Democrats, including Rep. John Larson, filed articles of impeachment (H.Res.939) around April 7 over Trump's Iran threats, which prompted NAACP health-related calls and bolder removal rhetoric, but a Republican Senate majority blocks conviction requiring two-thirds support. Trump de-escalated with a two-week Iran ceasefire by April 9 and continues active duties, signing executive orders on tariffs and medical research as recently as April 18. No confirmed health issues or cabinet consensus for incapacity exist, with over 2.5 years left in his term until January 2029.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$3,057,925 交易量
$3,057,925 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$3,057,925 交易量
$3,057,925 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting the absence of viable paths to early removal despite recent Democratic pushes for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment. House Democrats, including Rep. John Larson, filed articles of impeachment (H.Res.939) around April 7 over Trump's Iran threats, which prompted NAACP health-related calls and bolder removal rhetoric, but a Republican Senate majority blocks conviction requiring two-thirds support. Trump de-escalated with a two-week Iran ceasefire by April 9 and continues active duties, signing executive orders on tariffs and medical research as recently as April 18. No confirmed health issues or cabinet consensus for incapacity exist, with over 2.5 years left in his term until January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$3,057,925结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting the absence of viable paths to early removal despite recent Democratic pushes for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment. House Democrats, including Rep. John Larson, filed articles of impeachment (H.Res.939) around April 7 over Trump's Iran threats, which prompted NAACP health-related calls and bolder removal rhetoric, but a Republican Senate majority blocks conviction requiring two-thirds support. Trump de-escalated with a two-week Iran ceasefire by April 9 and continues active duties, signing executive orders on tariffs and medical research as recently as April 18. No confirmed health issues or cabinet consensus for incapacity exist, with over 2.5 years left in his term until January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,057,925结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting the absence of viable paths to early removal despite recent Democratic pushes for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment. House Democrats, including Rep. John Larson, filed articles of impeachment (H.Res.939) around April 7 over Trump's Iran threats, which prompted NAACP health-related calls and bolder removal rhetoric, but a Republican Senate majority blocks conviction requiring two-thirds support. Trump de-escalated with a two-week Iran ceasefire by April 9 and continues active duties, signing executive orders on tariffs and medical research as recently as April 18. No confirmed health issues or cabinet consensus for incapacity exist, with over 2.5 years left in his term until January 2029.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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