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icon for Terrebone补选获胜者
政治·奖励20、4.5、50

Terrebone补选获胜者

icon for Terrebone补选获胜者
政治·奖励20、4.5、50

Terrebone补选获胜者

塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特 100.0%

马克西姆·博杜安 <1%

玛丽亚·坎托雷 <1%

Adrienne Charles <1%

Polymarket

$505,052 交易量

塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特 100.0%

马克西姆·博杜安 <1%

玛丽亚·坎托雷 <1%

Adrienne Charles <1%

Polymarket

$505,052 交易量

icon for 塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特

塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特

$201,102 交易量

是

icon for 马克西姆·博杜安

马克西姆·博杜安

$42,756 交易量

否

icon for 玛丽亚·坎托雷

玛丽亚·坎托雷

$39,657 交易量

否

icon for Adrienne Charles

Adrienne Charles

$48,763 交易量

否

icon for 本杰明·兰金

本杰明·兰金

$62,350 交易量

否

icon for 纳塔莉·辛克莱-德斯加涅

纳塔莉·辛克莱-德斯加涅

$110,424 交易量

否

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal Tatiana Auguste clinched victory in the Terrebonne, Quebec, federal by-election on April 13, 2026, with official results confirming her win and propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. This outcome rematches her overturned one-vote 2025 general election triumph, nullified by the Supreme Court in February 2026 over an Elections Canada administrative error, amid a record number of candidates including Conservative Maxime Beaudoin and Bloc Québécois's Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné. Strong Liberal campaign momentum and voter turnout in the historically tight riding secured her lead, reported at around 600 votes with most polls counted. While formal certification by Elections Canada is pending, realistic challenges like recounts or legal appeals appear improbable given the margin, locking in the market's commanding position.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$505,052
结束日期
2026-04-13
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal Tatiana Auguste clinched victory in the Terrebonne, Quebec, federal by-election on April 13, 2026, with official results confirming her win and propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. This outcome rematches her overturned one-vote 2025 general election triumph, nullified by the Supreme Court in February 2026 over an Elections Canada administrative error, amid a record number of candidates including Conservative Maxime Beaudoin and Bloc Québécois's Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné. Strong Liberal campaign momentum and voter turnout in the historically tight riding secured her lead, reported at around 600 votes with most polls counted. While formal certification by Elections Canada is pending, realistic challenges like recounts or legal appeals appear improbable given the margin, locking in the market's commanding position.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$505,052
结束日期
2026-04-13
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Terrebone补选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特"，概率为 100%，其次是"马克西姆·博杜安"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Terrebone补选获胜者"已产生 $505.1K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Terrebone补选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Terrebone补选获胜者"的当前领先者是"塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"马克西姆·博杜安"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Terrebone补选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。