Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于50-60% 35%
60-70% 24%
70-80% 24%
低于50% 10%
$24,281 交易量
$24,281 交易量
2026-08-14
低于50%
10%
50-60%
35%
60-70%
24%
70-80%
24%
80%+
5%
50-60% 35%
60-70% 24%
70-80% 24%
低于50% 10%
$24,281 交易量
$24,281 交易量
2026-08-14
低于50%
$4,411 交易量
10%
50-60%
$5,166 交易量
35%
60-70%
$8,616 交易量
24%
70-80%
$2,394 交易量
24%
80%+
$3,695 交易量
5%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$24,281结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
交易量
$24,281结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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