Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rafael López Aliaga as the clear frontrunner at 41.5% for Peru's presidential election, now set for April 2025 after Congress advanced the vote amid ongoing instability following Pedro Castillo's 2022 ouster. Recent August polls from Ipsos and Datum show López Aliaga leading with 10-15% support, boosted by voter frustration over crime and corruption, favoring his hardline Popular Renewal platform. Alfonso López Chau (15.7%) and Keiko Fujimori (15.5%) trail as viable runoff contenders, reflecting fragmented fields where right-wing populism gains traction. Jorge Nieto (10%) appeals to centrists, but no major shifts; upcoming debates could reshape odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 42%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 15.7%
凯科·藤森 16%
豪尔赫·涅托 10.0%
$3,178,697 交易量
$3,178,697 交易量

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
42%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
16%

凯科·藤森
16%

豪尔赫·涅托
10%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
7%

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
4%

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
2%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
1%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特
1%

约尼·莱斯卡诺
1%

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
1%

乔治·福赛思
<1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%

何塞·威廉斯
<1%

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%

马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%

罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%

何塞·卢纳
<1%

费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 42%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 15.7%
凯科·藤森 16%
豪尔赫·涅托 10.0%
$3,178,697 交易量
$3,178,697 交易量

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
42%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
16%

凯科·藤森
16%

豪尔赫·涅托
10%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
7%

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
4%

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
2%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
1%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特
1%

约尼·莱斯卡诺
1%

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
1%

乔治·福赛思
<1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%

何塞·威廉斯
<1%

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%

马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%

罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%

何塞·卢纳
<1%

费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rafael López Aliaga as the clear frontrunner at 41.5% for Peru's presidential election, now set for April 2025 after Congress advanced the vote amid ongoing instability following Pedro Castillo's 2022 ouster. Recent August polls from Ipsos and Datum show López Aliaga leading with 10-15% support, boosted by voter frustration over crime and corruption, favoring his hardline Popular Renewal platform. Alfonso López Chau (15.7%) and Keiko Fujimori (15.5%) trail as viable runoff contenders, reflecting fragmented fields where right-wing populism gains traction. Jorge Nieto (10%) appeals to centrists, but no major shifts; upcoming debates could reshape odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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