The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat and qualify for any future party leadership contest. Traders price Burnham as the heavy favorite at 73.5 percent because of his strong local recognition, incumbency advantages as mayor, and Labour’s organizational resources in the constituency. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon at 24.5 percent benefits from the party’s recent local election gains in the area and national momentum on cost-of-living and immigration issues, though early constituency polling shows Burnham’s personal vote narrowing the gap. Minor-party and independent candidates remain marginal given the two-way contest dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,111,425 交易量
$2,111,425 交易量
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,111,425 交易量
$2,111,425 交易量
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat and qualify for any future party leadership contest. Traders price Burnham as the heavy favorite at 73.5 percent because of his strong local recognition, incumbency advantages as mayor, and Labour’s organizational resources in the constituency. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon at 24.5 percent benefits from the party’s recent local election gains in the area and national momentum on cost-of-living and immigration issues, though early constituency polling shows Burnham’s personal vote narrowing the gap. Minor-party and independent candidates remain marginal given the two-way contest dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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