Skip to main content
icon for Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 74%

Robert Kenyon 25%

丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.8%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,108,949 交易量

Andy Burnham 74%

Robert Kenyon 25%

丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.8%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,108,949 交易量

Andy Burnham

$199,869 交易量

74%

Robert Kenyon

$134,925 交易量

25%

丽贝卡·谢泼德

$1,746,449 交易量

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 交易量

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 交易量

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 交易量

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 交易量

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The resignation of Labour MP Josh Simons in May 2026 specifically to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the 18 June by-election, with traders assigning his outcome the dominant share of probability. Burnham’s established regional profile, prior parliamentary experience, and swift endorsement by the Labour National Executive Committee provide a structural edge in a constituency where the party has held the seat for decades. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon benefits from the party’s strong local performances in 2024 and recent council elections, yet faces the challenge of overcoming Burnham’s personal vote in a short campaign window. Minor candidates register negligible support amid the two-way dynamic. Scheduled events including candidate nominations closing in late May and the imminent vote date anchor current trader assessments of the outcome.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$2,108,949
结束日期
2026-06-18
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The resignation of Labour MP Josh Simons in May 2026 specifically to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the 18 June by-election, with traders assigning his outcome the dominant share of probability. Burnham’s established regional profile, prior parliamentary experience, and swift endorsement by the Labour National Executive Committee provide a structural edge in a constituency where the party has held the seat for decades. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon benefits from the party’s strong local performances in 2024 and recent council elections, yet faces the challenge of overcoming Burnham’s personal vote in a short campaign window. Minor candidates register negligible support amid the two-way dynamic. Scheduled events including candidate nominations closing in late May and the imminent vote date anchor current trader assessments of the outcome.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$2,108,949
结束日期
2026-06-18
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Makerfield by-election Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Andy Burnham",概率为 74%,其次是"Robert Kenyon",概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 74¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Makerfield by-election Winner"已产生 $2.1 million 的总交易量(自May 14, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Makerfield by-election Winner"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Makerfield by-election Winner"的当前领先者是"Andy Burnham",概率为 74%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 74%。紧随其后的结果是"Robert Kenyon",概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Makerfield by-election Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。