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政治·主要

马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者

丹·考克斯 51%

埃德·黑尔 33.8%

克里斯托弗·布谢特 5%

史蒂夫·赫希 4.0%

Polymarket

$298,743 交易量

丹·考克斯 51%

埃德·黑尔 33.8%

克里斯托弗·布谢特 5%

史蒂夫·赫希 4.0%

Polymarket

$298,743 交易量

丹·考克斯

$59,271 交易量

51%

埃德·黑尔

$11,449 交易量

34%

克里斯托弗·布谢特

$5,069 交易量

5%

史蒂夫·赫希

$171,235 交易量

4%

库尔特·韦德金

$757 交易量

3%

卡尔·布伦纳

$950 交易量

3%

约翰·迈里克

$2,815 交易量

2%

拉里·霍根

$47,198 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who captured the party's Trump-aligned base despite a general election loss to Wes Moore. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 33.8%, buoyed by recent fundraising momentum and self-funding potential as a conservative outsider challenging the field. No major polling has emerged in the past 30 days for the July 2026 primary, leaving odds shaped by candidate announcements, early endorsements, and historical primary dynamics favoring past nominees amid fragmented competition from Steve Hershey, Christopher Bouchat, and others. Upcoming filing deadlines and potential high-profile entries could shift battleground positioning in this low-turnout primary.

Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who captured the party's Trump-aligned base despite a general election loss to Wes Moore. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 33.8%, buoyed by recent fundraising momentum and self-funding potential as a conservative outsider challenging the field. No major polling has emerged in the past 30 days for the July 2026 primary, leaving odds shaped by candidate announcements, early endorsements, and historical primary dynamics favoring past nominees amid fragmented competition from Steve Hershey, Christopher Bouchat, and others. Upcoming filing deadlines and potential high-profile entries could shift battleground positioning in this low-turnout primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who captured the party's Trump-aligned base despite a general election loss to Wes Moore. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 33.8%, buoyed by recent fundraising momentum and self-funding potential as a conservative outsider challenging the field. No major polling has emerged in the past 30 days for the July 2026 primary, leaving odds shaped by candidate announcements, early endorsements, and historical primary dynamics favoring past nominees amid fragmented competition from Steve Hershey, Christopher Bouchat, and others. Upcoming filing deadlines and potential high-profile entries could shift battleground positioning in this low-turnout primary.

Dan Cox holds a trader consensus edge at 51.5% implied probability in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who captured the party's Trump-aligned base despite a general election loss to Wes Moore. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 33.8%, buoyed by recent fundraising momentum and self-funding potential as a conservative outsider challenging the field. No major polling has emerged in the past 30 days for the July 2026 primary, leaving odds shaped by candidate announcements, early endorsements, and historical primary dynamics favoring past nominees amid fragmented competition from Steve Hershey, Christopher Bouchat, and others. Upcoming filing deadlines and potential high-profile entries could shift battleground positioning in this low-turnout primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"丹·考克斯"，概率为 51%，其次是"埃德·黑尔"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $298.7K 的总交易量（自Dec 10, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"丹·考克斯"，概率为 51%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"埃德·黑尔"，概率为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马里兰州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。