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忠清南道省长选举获胜者

Market icon

忠清南道省长选举获胜者

杨承朝 81%

朴洙贤 10.5%

金泰欽 5.9%

姜承圭 <1%

Polymarket

$310,150 交易量

杨承朝 81%

朴洙贤 10.5%

金泰欽 5.9%

姜承圭 <1%

Polymarket

$310,150 交易量

杨承朝

$9,311 交易量

81%

朴洙贤

$34,539 交易量

11%

金泰欽

$235,360 交易量

6%

姜承圭

$7,414 交易量

1%

尹相铉

$3,653 交易量

1%

姜勋植

$3,668 交易量

<1%

成一钟

$3,703 交易量

<1%

钟镇硕

$9,198 交易量

<1%

文振錫

$3,305 交易量

<1%

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.

Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.

Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"忠清南道省长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"杨承朝",概率为 81%,其次是"朴洙贤",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"忠清南道省长选举获胜者"已产生 $310.2K 的总交易量(自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"忠清南道省长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"忠清南道省长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"杨承朝",概率为 81%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"朴洙贤",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"忠清南道省长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。