Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于杨承朝 81%
朴洙贤 10.5%
金泰欽 5.9%
姜承圭 <1%
$310,150 交易量
$310,150 交易量
杨承朝
81%
朴洙贤
11%
金泰欽
6%
姜承圭
1%
尹相铉
1%
姜勋植
<1%
成一钟
<1%
钟镇硕
<1%
文振錫
<1%
杨承朝 81%
朴洙贤 10.5%
金泰欽 5.9%
姜承圭 <1%
$310,150 交易量
$310,150 交易量
杨承朝
81%
朴洙贤
11%
金泰欽
6%
姜承圭
1%
尹相铉
1%
姜勋植
<1%
成一钟
<1%
钟镇硕
<1%
文振錫
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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