Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner to become Sweden's next prime minister at 58.5%, driven by consistent opinion polls showing the Red-Green bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, Centre) leading the Tidö Agreement parties by 4-10 points ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election. Recent March surveys from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop place Social Democrats at 31-33%—well ahead of Moderates (17-18%)—projecting 182-197 seats for Red-Greens versus 152-167 for Tidö (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, Sweden Democrats). The Liberal Party's March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to bolster right-wing unity has yet to shift polls significantly, sustaining opposition momentum amid coalition negotiations and key voting blocs on immigration and economy. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5%, with Jimmie Åkesson at 5.3% as a potential kingmaker.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于玛格达莱娜·安德松 59%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 34%
吉米·奥克松 5.3%
埃巴·布什 2.3%
$1,288,017 交易量
$1,288,017 交易量

玛格达莱娜·安德松
59%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松
34%

吉米·奥克松
5%

埃巴·布什
2%

阿曼达·林德
<1%

努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%

伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
玛格达莱娜·安德松 59%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 34%
吉米·奥克松 5.3%
埃巴·布什 2.3%
$1,288,017 交易量
$1,288,017 交易量

玛格达莱娜·安德松
59%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松
34%

吉米·奥克松
5%

埃巴·布什
2%

阿曼达·林德
<1%

努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%

伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner to become Sweden's next prime minister at 58.5%, driven by consistent opinion polls showing the Red-Green bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, Centre) leading the Tidö Agreement parties by 4-10 points ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election. Recent March surveys from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop place Social Democrats at 31-33%—well ahead of Moderates (17-18%)—projecting 182-197 seats for Red-Greens versus 152-167 for Tidö (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, Sweden Democrats). The Liberal Party's March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to bolster right-wing unity has yet to shift polls significantly, sustaining opposition momentum amid coalition negotiations and key voting blocs on immigration and economy. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5%, with Jimmie Åkesson at 5.3% as a potential kingmaker.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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