Nicolás Maduro's firm grip on Venezuela's presidency drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his exile to Russia by March 31, with "No" shares at 99.9%. Following the disputed July 2024 election, Maduro was inaugurated on January 10 amid loyal military backing and suppression of opposition protests led by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who fled abroad. Recent U.S. sanctions and diplomatic isolation from allies like Brazil and Colombia have not eroded his control, as Russia continues strong bilateral support without signaling asylum needs. No credible reports of defections or regime collapse exist; only an improbable sudden coup, mass uprising, or foreign intervention could shift odds in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$162,045 交易量
$162,045 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$162,045 交易量
$162,045 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Nicolás Maduro's firm grip on Venezuela's presidency drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his exile to Russia by March 31, with "No" shares at 99.9%. Following the disputed July 2024 election, Maduro was inaugurated on January 10 amid loyal military backing and suppression of opposition protests led by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who fled abroad. Recent U.S. sanctions and diplomatic isolation from allies like Brazil and Colombia have not eroded his control, as Russia continues strong bilateral support without signaling asylum needs. No credible reports of defections or regime collapse exist; only an improbable sudden coup, mass uprising, or foreign intervention could shift odds in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$162,045结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Nicolás Maduro's firm grip on Venezuela's presidency drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his exile to Russia by March 31, with "No" shares at 99.9%. Following the disputed July 2024 election, Maduro was inaugurated on January 10 amid loyal military backing and suppression of opposition protests led by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who fled abroad. Recent U.S. sanctions and diplomatic isolation from allies like Brazil and Colombia have not eroded his control, as Russia continues strong bilateral support without signaling asylum needs. No credible reports of defections or regime collapse exist; only an improbable sudden coup, mass uprising, or foreign intervention could shift odds in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Russia if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Russia for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify; he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Russia will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Russia will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$162,045结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro's firm grip on Venezuela's presidency drives the near-unanimous trader consensus against his exile to Russia by March 31, with "No" shares at 99.9%. Following the disputed July 2024 election, Maduro was inaugurated on January 10 amid loyal military backing and suppression of opposition protests led by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who fled abroad. Recent U.S. sanctions and diplomatic isolation from allies like Brazil and Colombia have not eroded his control, as Russia continues strong bilateral support without signaling asylum needs. No credible reports of defections or regime collapse exist; only an improbable sudden coup, mass uprising, or foreign intervention could shift odds in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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