Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, 2026, at just 5.3% likelihood, reflecting the Russia-Ukraine war's entrenched deadlock and incompatible demands. Putin demands recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas, while Zelenskyy insists on full Russian withdrawal, reparations, and security guarantees per his peace formula—positions reiterated in recent Kremlin statements and Zelenskyy's NATO addresses. Over the past month, escalations including Russian advances in Donetsk, Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, and North Korean troop deployments to Kursk have deepened hostilities, sidelining diplomacy. Intermediary talks via Turkey and the UAE show no bilateral progress, with both leaders avoiding contact since the 2022 invasion. U.S. policy shifts post-Trump inauguration could catalyze change, but traders anticipate persistent barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$151,683 交易量
$151,683 交易量
是
$151,683 交易量
$151,683 交易量
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30, 2026, at just 5.3% likelihood, reflecting the Russia-Ukraine war's entrenched deadlock and incompatible demands. Putin demands recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas, while Zelenskyy insists on full Russian withdrawal, reparations, and security guarantees per his peace formula—positions reiterated in recent Kremlin statements and Zelenskyy's NATO addresses. Over the past month, escalations including Russian advances in Donetsk, Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields, and North Korean troop deployments to Kursk have deepened hostilities, sidelining diplomacy. Intermediary talks via Turkey and the UAE show no bilateral progress, with both leaders avoiding contact since the 2022 invasion. U.S. policy shifts post-Trump inauguration could catalyze change, but traders anticipate persistent barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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