Recent disinflation, with Russia's May CPI easing to 5.3% from 5.6% in April, alongside Q1 economic contraction and the Bank of Russia's April 50-basis-point cut to 14.5%, has driven the 91.5% market-implied probability of a June 19 rate reduction. The central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% in 2026 and moderating underlying inflation near 4–5% further anchor trader consensus for easing to support growth amid tight monetary conditions. President Putin's recent comments signaling room for lower rates reinforce this positioning. However, persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus, external uncertainty, or a rebound in inflation expectations could still prompt a hold at the current level.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 92%
No Change 10%
Increase <1%
$93,897 交易量
$93,897 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
92%
No Change
10%
Increase
<1%
Decrease 92%
No Change 10%
Increase <1%
$93,897 交易量
$93,897 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
$35,927 交易量
92%
No Change
$22,980 交易量
10%
Increase
$34,990 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent disinflation, with Russia's May CPI easing to 5.3% from 5.6% in April, alongside Q1 economic contraction and the Bank of Russia's April 50-basis-point cut to 14.5%, has driven the 91.5% market-implied probability of a June 19 rate reduction. The central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% in 2026 and moderating underlying inflation near 4–5% further anchor trader consensus for easing to support growth amid tight monetary conditions. President Putin's recent comments signaling room for lower rates reinforce this positioning. However, persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus, external uncertainty, or a rebound in inflation expectations could still prompt a hold at the current level.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$93,897结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent disinflation, with Russia's May CPI easing to 5.3% from 5.6% in April, alongside Q1 economic contraction and the Bank of Russia's April 50-basis-point cut to 14.5%, has driven the 91.5% market-implied probability of a June 19 rate reduction. The central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% in 2026 and moderating underlying inflation near 4–5% further anchor trader consensus for easing to support growth amid tight monetary conditions. President Putin's recent comments signaling room for lower rates reinforce this positioning. However, persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus, external uncertainty, or a rebound in inflation expectations could still prompt a hold at the current level.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$93,897结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent disinflation, with Russia's May CPI easing to 5.3% from 5.6% in April, alongside Q1 economic contraction and the Bank of Russia's April 50-basis-point cut to 14.5%, has driven the 91.5% market-implied probability of a June 19 rate reduction. The central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0–14.5% in 2026 and moderating underlying inflation near 4–5% further anchor trader consensus for easing to support growth amid tight monetary conditions. President Putin's recent comments signaling room for lower rates reinforce this positioning. However, persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus, external uncertainty, or a rebound in inflation expectations could still prompt a hold at the current level.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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