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经济·全局费率

俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？

Market icon
经济·全局费率

俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？

Apr 24

Jun 19

Apr 24

Jun 19

降低 85%

不变 16%

增加 <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 交易量

降低 85%

不变 16%

增加 <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 交易量

降低

$11,740 交易量

85%

不变

$3,686 交易量

16%

增加

$4,306 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"降低"，概率为 85%，其次是"不变"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？"已产生 $19.7K 的总交易量（自Feb 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？"的当前领先者是"降低"，概率为 85%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"不变"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄罗斯银行4月份的决定？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。