Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于降低 85%
不变 16%
增加 <1%
$19,732 交易量
$19,732 交易量
降低
85%
不变
16%
增加
1%
降低 85%
不变 16%
增加 <1%
$19,732 交易量
$19,732 交易量
降低
85%
不变
16%
增加
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 25 meeting, reflecting disinflation momentum from the latest March CPI print at 7.6% year-over-year—down from February's 8.2%—coupled with stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92-94 versus the U.S. dollar and softening wage pressures amid cooling GDP growth to 3.8% annualized. The central bank's February hold at 18% followed dovish signals in Governor Nabiullina's commentary, emphasizing data-dependent easing if inflation sustainably nears the 4% target. No change (15.5%) accounts for residual geopolitical risks and fiscal stimulus effects, while a hike (0.7%) faces steep barriers from improving labor market slack. Watch April CPI release mid-month for potential sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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