Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 98.4% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its policy rate at the March 27-28 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures exceeding the 3% target. January's CPI eased slightly to 9.28% year-over-year but core measures remained sticky above 8%, while peso depreciation amid U.S. rate differentials and domestic fiscal concerns has fueled imported inflation risks. Hawkish January board minutes and the prior 25 basis point hike to 13.25% reinforce this positioning, aligning with the monetary policy tightening cycle since 2021. Upside risks to the peso or unexpectedly soft February inflation data could challenge this near-unanimous view ahead of the decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于加息 98.4%
维持现状 1.7%
降息 <1%
$158,365 交易量
$158,365 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
降息
<1%
维持现状
2%
加息
98%
加息 98.4%
维持现状 1.7%
降息 <1%
$158,365 交易量
$158,365 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
降息
$140,141 交易量
<1%
维持现状
$5,624 交易量
2%
加息
$12,600 交易量
98%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 98.4% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its policy rate at the March 27-28 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures exceeding the 3% target. January's CPI eased slightly to 9.28% year-over-year but core measures remained sticky above 8%, while peso depreciation amid U.S. rate differentials and domestic fiscal concerns has fueled imported inflation risks. Hawkish January board minutes and the prior 25 basis point hike to 13.25% reinforce this positioning, aligning with the monetary policy tightening cycle since 2021. Upside risks to the peso or unexpectedly soft February inflation data could challenge this near-unanimous view ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$158,365结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 98.4% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its policy rate at the March 27-28 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures exceeding the 3% target. January's CPI eased slightly to 9.28% year-over-year but core measures remained sticky above 8%, while peso depreciation amid U.S. rate differentials and domestic fiscal concerns has fueled imported inflation risks. Hawkish January board minutes and the prior 25 basis point hike to 13.25% reinforce this positioning, aligning with the monetary policy tightening cycle since 2021. Upside risks to the peso or unexpectedly soft February inflation data could challenge this near-unanimous view ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$158,365结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 98.4% implied probability for the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la República) to hike its policy rate at the March 27-28 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures exceeding the 3% target. January's CPI eased slightly to 9.28% year-over-year but core measures remained sticky above 8%, while peso depreciation amid U.S. rate differentials and domestic fiscal concerns has fueled imported inflation risks. Hawkish January board minutes and the prior 25 basis point hike to 13.25% reinforce this positioning, aligning with the monetary policy tightening cycle since 2021. Upside risks to the peso or unexpectedly soft February inflation data could challenge this near-unanimous view ahead of the decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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