The Bank of England's April 30 hold of the Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 Monetary Policy Committee vote, amid elevated energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April CPI inflation eased to 2.8% year-over-year while remaining above the 2% target, with the central bank highlighting pass-through risks to utilities and fuel alongside a loosening labor market and subdued growth that limit second-round effects. This data-dependent stance aligns with official guidance prioritizing incoming evidence over preemptive action. The May CPI release due June 17 and any fresh energy market volatility represent the primary swing factors that could still support a 25-basis-point adjustment if conditions shift materially before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于未变 97.4%
加息25个基点 1.9%
下调25个基点 <1%
降息50个基点以上 <1%
$271,087 交易量
$271,087 交易量
降息50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
1%
未变
97%
加息25个基点
2%
加息50个基点以上
<1%
未变 97.4%
加息25个基点 1.9%
下调25个基点 <1%
降息50个基点以上 <1%
$271,087 交易量
$271,087 交易量
降息50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
1%
未变
97%
加息25个基点
2%
加息50个基点以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's April 30 hold of the Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 Monetary Policy Committee vote, amid elevated energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April CPI inflation eased to 2.8% year-over-year while remaining above the 2% target, with the central bank highlighting pass-through risks to utilities and fuel alongside a loosening labor market and subdued growth that limit second-round effects. This data-dependent stance aligns with official guidance prioritizing incoming evidence over preemptive action. The May CPI release due June 17 and any fresh energy market volatility represent the primary swing factors that could still support a 25-basis-point adjustment if conditions shift materially before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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