Polymarket traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation at 3% for February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target. Escalating Middle East tensions, including the recent Iran conflict, have spiked energy prices, prompting BoE warnings of near-term inflation upside and prompting a modest 11% market-implied odds for a rate increase, while cuts remain negligible at under 1% due to persistent wage pressures and global shocks delaying easing. Upcoming March CPI data, due soon, could influence sentiment ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于未变 83%
上调 17.2%
下调25个基点 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$194,309 交易量
$194,309 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
下调50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
1%
未变
83%
上调
17%
未变 83%
上调 17.2%
下调25个基点 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$194,309 交易量
$194,309 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
下调50个基点以上
$20,782 交易量
<1%
下调25个基点
$85,707 交易量
1%
未变
$47,203 交易量
83%
上调
$40,617 交易量
17%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation at 3% for February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target. Escalating Middle East tensions, including the recent Iran conflict, have spiked energy prices, prompting BoE warnings of near-term inflation upside and prompting a modest 11% market-implied odds for a rate increase, while cuts remain negligible at under 1% due to persistent wage pressures and global shocks delaying easing. Upcoming March CPI data, due soon, could influence sentiment ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
交易量
$194,309结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation at 3% for February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target. Escalating Middle East tensions, including the recent Iran conflict, have spiked energy prices, prompting BoE warnings of near-term inflation upside and prompting a modest 11% market-implied odds for a rate increase, while cuts remain negligible at under 1% due to persistent wage pressures and global shocks delaying easing. Upcoming March CPI data, due soon, could influence sentiment ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$194,309结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation at 3% for February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target. Escalating Middle East tensions, including the recent Iran conflict, have spiked energy prices, prompting BoE warnings of near-term inflation upside and prompting a modest 11% market-implied odds for a rate increase, while cuts remain negligible at under 1% due to persistent wage pressures and global shocks delaying easing. Upcoming March CPI data, due soon, could influence sentiment ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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