Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于未变 72%
上调 26.5%
下调50个基点以上 1.4%
下调25个基点 1.1%
$180,692 交易量
$180,692 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
下调50个基点以上
1%
下调25个基点
1%
未变
72%
上调
26%
未变 72%
上调 26.5%
下调50个基点以上 1.4%
下调25个基点 1.1%
$180,692 交易量
$180,692 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
下调50个基点以上
$18,996 交易量
1%
下调25个基点
$78,819 交易量
1%
未变
$44,217 交易量
72%
上调
$38,660 交易量
26%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
交易量
$180,692结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$180,692结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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