Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy at 2.25% following the March 18 hold amid cooling inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in January, supporting the pause despite persistent food price gains, while March labour data showed a stable 6.7% unemployment rate and 4.7% wage growth, tempering cut expectations. Governor Tiff Macklem's April 17 remarks dismissed short-term inflation expectation spikes as non-threatening, aligning with major bank forecasts for rates near 2.25-2.75% through 2026. The April 29 announcement and upcoming CPI releases remain pivotal catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
86%
Increase
6%
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-10
50+ bps decrease
$188 交易量
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 交易量
8%
No change
$3,569 交易量
86%
Increase
$804 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy at 2.25% following the March 18 hold amid cooling inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in January, supporting the pause despite persistent food price gains, while March labour data showed a stable 6.7% unemployment rate and 4.7% wage growth, tempering cut expectations. Governor Tiff Macklem's April 17 remarks dismissed short-term inflation expectation spikes as non-threatening, aligning with major bank forecasts for rates near 2.25-2.75% through 2026. The April 29 announcement and upcoming CPI releases remain pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$5,397结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy at 2.25% following the March 18 hold amid cooling inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in January, supporting the pause despite persistent food price gains, while March labour data showed a stable 6.7% unemployment rate and 4.7% wage growth, tempering cut expectations. Governor Tiff Macklem's April 17 remarks dismissed short-term inflation expectation spikes as non-threatening, aligning with major bank forecasts for rates near 2.25-2.75% through 2026. The April 29 announcement and upcoming CPI releases remain pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$5,397结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy at 2.25% following the March 18 hold amid cooling inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in January, supporting the pause despite persistent food price gains, while March labour data showed a stable 6.7% unemployment rate and 4.7% wage growth, tempering cut expectations. Governor Tiff Macklem's April 17 remarks dismissed short-term inflation expectation spikes as non-threatening, aligning with major bank forecasts for rates near 2.25-2.75% through 2026. The April 29 announcement and upcoming CPI releases remain pivotal catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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