Trader consensus heavily favors a rate hike at the Banco de la República's June 30 meeting, with the policy rate standing at 11.25% after the April hold and prior 100-basis-point increases earlier in 2026. Persistent headline inflation near 5.6% in the first quarter, well above the 3% target, combined with rising analyst expectations for 2026 around 6.3-6.5%, underpins the positioning as the board prioritizes anchoring inflation amid resilient spending and external pressures. Recent minutes highlighted the need to counter cost pressures, including from the minimum wage adjustment, while growth data remains mixed. A significant downside surprise in May or June inflation prints or sharper economic slowdown could still shift the outlook toward no change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Increase 86%
No change 10%
Decrease <1%
Decrease
<1%
No change
10%
Increase
93%
Increase 86%
No change 10%
Decrease <1%
Decrease
<1%
No change
10%
Increase
93%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a rate hike at the Banco de la República's June 30 meeting, with the policy rate standing at 11.25% after the April hold and prior 100-basis-point increases earlier in 2026. Persistent headline inflation near 5.6% in the first quarter, well above the 3% target, combined with rising analyst expectations for 2026 around 6.3-6.5%, underpins the positioning as the board prioritizes anchoring inflation amid resilient spending and external pressures. Recent minutes highlighted the need to counter cost pressures, including from the minimum wage adjustment, while growth data remains mixed. A significant downside surprise in May or June inflation prints or sharper economic slowdown could still shift the outlook toward no change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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