Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1.154 - 1.172m 48%
<1.154m 45%
1.172 - 1.19m 45%
1.19 - 1.208m 45%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<1.154m
45%
1.154 - 1.172m
48%
1.172 - 1.19m
45%
1.19 - 1.208m
45%
1.208 - 1.226m
45%
1.226 - 1.244m
45%
1.244 - 1.262m
45%
>1.262m
45%
1.154 - 1.172m 48%
<1.154m 45%
1.172 - 1.19m 45%
1.19 - 1.208m 45%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<1.154m
$0 交易量
45%
1.154 - 1.172m
$0 交易量
48%
1.172 - 1.19m
$0 交易量
45%
1.19 - 1.208m
$0 交易量
45%
1.208 - 1.226m
$0 交易量
45%
1.226 - 1.244m
$0 交易量
45%
1.244 - 1.262m
$0 交易量
45%
>1.262m
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题